Ross Levine and Sara Zervos Abstract: Do well-functioning stock markets and banks promote long-run economic growth? This paper shows that stock market liquidity and banking development both positively, predict growth, capital accumulation, and productivity improvements when entered together in regressions, even after controlling for economic and political factors. The results are consistent wit...

We use daily price indices obtained from the Morgan Stanley Capital International to construct realized volatility for 18 individual stock markets, including the US, and the world stock market. In contrast with the CAPM, we find that volatility by itself does not forecast excess returns in most countries; however, it becomes a significant predictor when combined with the US consumptionwealth ra...

Abstract: This paper examines the dynamic relationships between gold and stock markets in China. Using daily gold and stock indexes data, we estimated the DCC-GARCH model for the five bear markets since 31 October 2002, and simultaneously used different segments of China’s stock markets for analysis. Our main objective was to examine the time-varying correlations between gold and stock and to c...

In this paper, we examine the stock market efficiency of the members of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN). We use the conventional individual variance ratio tests like the Lo and MacKinlay (1988) test, Choi (1999) test, Wright (2000) test and Chen and Deo (2006)) test to check for the efficient market hypothesis in these markets. We also perform the spectral shape test of Durl...

herd behavior by investors in capital markets is a behavioral bias that can cause to undesirable effects such as bubble, crash and high fluctuation in stock price. this anomalies can disturb the equilibrium relations in stock market and lead to market inefficiency. herd behavior is a condition that investors with rational or in rational reasons ignore private information and imitate from others...

In this paper, cointegration relationships among 26 global stock market indices over the periods of sub-prime and European debt crisis and their influence rank are investigated by constructing and analyzing directed and weighted cointegration networks. The obtained results are shown as follows: the crises have changed cointegration relationships among stock market indices, their cointegration r...

The behaviour of multiple stock markets can be described within the framework of complex dynamic systems (CDS). Using a global model with the Kalman Filter we are able to extract the dynamic interaction network (DIN) of these markets. The model was shown to successfully capture interactions between stock markets in the long term. In this study we investigate the effectiveness of two different p...

market crash is a phenomenon which occurs in stock markets occasionally and leads to loss of the investors’ wealth and assets in a relatively short period of time. therefore, attempts for prediction of this phenomenon are of much importance for the investors, financial institutions and government. to this date, numerous and varied studies have been carried out for predicting and modeling  stock...

This study examines the effect of Fed funds rate target changes on Asian stock markets Japan, Hong Kong, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, and Singapore. The response of these markets to the Fed target rate changes vary in degree. Four out of six of the markets exhibit higher returns following target rate decreases. However, target rate increases do not cause all markets to react negatively. Onl...

With the economic successes of several Asian economies and their increasingly important roles in the global financial market, the prediction of Asian stock markets has becoming a hot research area. As Asian stock markets are highly dynamic and exhibit wide variation, it may more realistic and practical that assumed the stock indexes of Asian stock markets are nonlinear mixture data. In this res...