Scenario planning is increasingly recognized as a useful tool for exploring change in socialecological systems on decadal to centennial time horizons. In environmental decision making, scenario development tends to include participatory methods for engaging stakeholders and is conducted at multiple scales. This paper presents insights from participatory scenario development in two separate mult...

Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) is well-equipped to deal with conflicting objectives when evaluating strategic options. Scenario Planning provides a framework for confronting uncertainty which MCDA lacks. Integration of these methods offers various advantages, yet its effective application in evaluating strategic options would benefit from scenarios that reflect a larger number of wide-...

In this paper we are concerned with innovation in the development of mobile applications. In particular, we address how we may come to think systematically about innovative aspects of mobile applications. We suggest that there is not enough support for this in the mobile systems literature and we hence suggest a framework that supports the thinking about the possible innovative features of a mo...

For 20 years the conflict between the planning school and the process school of strategy has shaped the debate on strategy creation. In our paper, we argue that a scenario-based approach to strategic planning can serve as a management innovation in the field, thus having the potential to overcome the discrepancies between the two opposing schools of strategy. The scenario-based approach to stra...

The paper reports on a case study concerning the e-/m-Learning implementation of theories and practices in school settings. Within the framework of the UNITE project, organisational, pedagogical, technical and infrastructural support was provided to a network of 14 European schools. This paper describes activities preceding and those undertaken through the launch of the UNITE system from the pe...

Scenario planning is a method for learning about the future by understanding the nature and impact of the most uncertain and important driving forces affecting that future. However, most scenarios, being mostly stories, lack validation, dynamism and fail to acknowledge all relations between actors, activities and resources. In this paper, we propose an agent-based model for scenario development...

Although the purpose of strategic planning is straightforward to outline where an organization wants to go and how it’s going to get there its nature is complex and dynamic. Two techniques, the critical success factor (CSF) method and future scenario planning, can augment strategic planning efforts by illuminating an organization’s present situation and potential future. This paper explores the...

Hugh Courtney is a lecturer at the University of Maryland’s R.H. Smith School of Business, a senior fellow at the Mack Center for Technological Innovation at The Wharton School, and a management consultant ([email protected]). He is the author of 20/20 Foresight: Crafting Strategy in an Uncertain World, Harvard Business School Press, 2001. S cenario planning would seem to be the perfect...

In the final chapter, Nicholson uses the scenario planning method to explore several possible futures for digital reference services. Using two dimensions – funding sources and automation four different scenarios are developed. Common needs across all four scenarios drive a discussion of both current and future research needs, and are used to position all components from this digital reference ...