Recently housing price hikes are spreading across America spatially, a reminder of the stock market hikes of the 1990s that ruptured in 2000. The aim of this study were to identify the determinants of housing prices, the differences between housing and stock markets, and whether the housing market can follow the path of the stock market. The aim was also to examine the existence of a housing bu...

We test for the existence of housing bubbles associated with a failure of the transversality condition that requires the present value of payments occurring infinitely far in the future to be zero. The most prominent such bubble is the classic rational bubble. We study housing markets in the United Kingdom and Singapore, where residential property ownership takes the form of either leaseholds o...

In this paper, we quantitatively investigate the properties of a statistical ensemble of stock prices. We focus attention on the relative price defined as X(t) = S(t)/S(0), where S(0), is the stock price for an onset time of the bubble. We selected approximately 3200 stocks traded on the Japanese Stock Exchange, and formed a statistical ensemble of daily relative prices for each trading day in ...

I construct a model in which infinitely-lived entrepreneurs cannot borrowmore than the value of their landholdings. I show how this constraint leads naturally to an equilibrium in which the land’s price has a bubble. I demonstrate that bursting bubbles in land prices may have dramatic and persistent distributional and aggregate effects. I discuss appropriate and inappropriate policy interventio...

This paper examines the effects of the most recent U.S. housing bubble on the fiscal policy of California cities. We use an instrumental variables approach that helps isolate fiscal consequences of house price appreciation by taking advantage of the influence of local topological constraints on the elasticity of house prices with respect to interest rates. Our analysis generates three main find...

We consider a dynamic asset pricing model with one asset, in which one informed trader trades against liquidity traders and competitive market makers. Informed trader has private information about the fundamental value of the asset as well as the exogenous demand shock on the market. We characterize the unique linear Markov equilibrium of the model. With just the private information about funda...

We analyze 27 house price indexes of Las Vegas from Jun. 1983 to Mar. 2005, corresponding to 27 different zip codes. These analyses confirm the existence of a real-estate bubble, defined as a price acceleration faster than exponential, which is found however to be confined to a rather limited time interval in the recent past from approximately 2003 to mid-2004 and has progressively transformed ...

Stock-based compensation puts managers in the position of having, at some point, to sell stock. The prevalence of stock-based compensation in the 1990s allegedly created incentives for managers to hype their companies’ stock price by manipulating earnings before selling stock. Consistent with this conjecture, we find that managers tended to inflate earnings prior to selling stock. Moreover, the...

We report on a large number of laboratory market experiments demonstrating that a market bubble can be reduced under the following conditions: 1) a low initial liquidity level, i.e., less total cash than value of total shares, 2) deferred dividends, and 3) a bid–ask book that is open to traders. Conversely, a large bubble arises when the opposite conditions exist. The first part of the article ...