this research studies the application of hybrid algorithms for predicting the prices of crude oil. brent crude oil price data and hybrid intelligent algorithm (time delay neural network, probabilistic neural network, and fuzzy logic) were used to build intelligent decision support systems for predicting crude oil prices. the proposed model was able to predict future crude oil prices from august...

raisin is the second major export item in iranian agricultural section after pistachio. in this study, effects of exchange rate fluctuations were investigated on quantity and price of exported raisin. therefore, data of 1970 to 2008 were reviewed by time series analysis and estimated by auto-regressive distributed lag model (ardl). results show the absence of a long-term relationship between ex...

Given that Russia was one of the largest oil exporters, has left market unstable as war between and Ukraine intensifies. This report, studies effect shock on returns volatility manufacturing transportation industries US, to understand relationship, lag, intensity these in conjunction with Crude price international market. By using Time-Series data collected from NYME constructing a VAR model, a...

Futures contract is one of the most important derivatives that is used in financial markets in all over the world to buy or sell an asset or commodity in the future. Pricing of this tool depends on expected price of asset or commodity at the maturity date. According to this, theoretical futures pricing models try to find this expected price in order to use in the futures contract. So in this ar...

in general, energy prices, such as those of crude oil, are affected by deterministic events such as seasonal changes as well as non-deterministic events such as geopolitical events. it is the non-deterministic events which cause the prices to vary randomly and makes price prediction a difficult task. one could argue that these random changes act like noise which effects the deterministic variat...

A b s t r a c t a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: C23 G15 Q43 Keywords: Asymmetric effects International stock markets Oil prices Panel data Oil price volatility Although studies have found an asymmetric pattern in the response of aggregate output to oil price changes, parallel studies in stock markets have not been conclusive about their existence. This paper finds evidence that effect...

the purpose of this study is to examine the dynamic effects of some macroeconomic variables: money stock, gross domestic product, consumer price index and exchange rates on determining housing price index behavior in iran using the error correction model. using seasonal data, the model is estimated by johansen-juselius cointegration approach during 1990-2007. the results reveal that all variabl...