Prediction markets which trade on contracts representing unknown future outcomes are designed specifically to aggregate expert predictions via the market price. While there are some existing machine learning interpretations for the market price and connections to Bayesian updating under the equilibrium analysis of such markets, there is less of an understanding of what the instantaneous price i...

The jamor purpose of the present research is to predict the total stock market index of Tehran Stock Exchange, using a combined method of Wavelet transforms, Fuzzy genetics, and neural network in order to predict the active participations of finance market as well as macro decision makers.To do so, first the prediction was made by neural network, then a series of price index was decomposed by w...

Proper models for prediction of time series data can be an advantage in making important decisions. In this study, we tried with the comparison between one of the most useful classic models of economic evaluation, auto-regressive integrated moving average model and one of the most useful artificial intelligence models, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), investigate modeling procedur...

This paper studies the dynamic relationship among futures price, spot price of Shanghai metal and futures price of London with the co-integration theory, Granger causality tests, residue analysis, impulse responses function, and variance decomposition on the VECM. The study shows the three have the long equilibrium relationship: the copper futures price of Shanghai have internalities to the fut...

due to the importance of the import management, this study applies generalized ardl approach to estimate midas regression for wheat import value and to compare the accuracy of forecasts with those competed by the regression with adjusted data model. mixed frequency sampling models aim to extract information with high frequency indicators so that independent variables with lower frequencies are ...

This paper presents a vehicle price prediction system by using the supervised machine learning technique. The research uses multiple linear regression as the machine learning prediction method which offered 98% prediction precision. Using multiple linear regression, there are multiple independent variables but one and only one dependent variable whose actual and predicted values are compared to...

the jamor purpose of the present research is to predict the total stock market index of tehran stock exchange, using a combined method of wavelet transforms, fuzzy genetics, and neural network in order to predict the active participations of finance market as well as macro decision makers.to do so, first the prediction was made by neural network, then a series of price index was decomposed by w...