نتایج جستجو برای: markov model
تعداد نتایج: 2133466 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
In this study, for the first time, we model gasoline consumption behavior in Iran using the long-term memory model of the autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average and non-linear Markov-Switching regime change model. Initially, the long-term memory feature of the ARFIMA model is investigated using the data from 1927 to 2017. The results indicate that the time series studied has a lo...
in this paper, we show that the chapman-kolmogorov formula could be used as a recursive formula for computing the m-step-ahead conditional density of a markov bilinear model. the stationary marginal probability density function of the model may be approximated by the m-step-ahead conditional density for sufficiently large m.
The paper examines the application of semi-Markov models to the phenomenon of earthquakes in Tehran province. Generally, earthquakes are not independent of each other, and time and place of earthquakes are related to previous earthquakes; moreover, the time between earthquakes affects the pattern of their occurrence; thus, this occurrence can be likened to semi-Markov models. ...
in this paper, absorbing markov chain models are developed to determine the optimum process mean levels for both a single-stage and a serial two-stage production system in which items are inspected for conformity with their specification limits. when the value of the quality characteristic of an item falls below a lower limit, the item is scrapped. if it falls above an upper limit, the item is ...
the aim of this paper is to present the prediction model of the transport energy demand in iran. markov chain grey model (mcgm) is proposed to forecast the transport energy demand of iran. then it is compared with grey model (gm) and regression model. moreover, the mcgm forecasting model is used to forecast the annual gasoline demand of iran up to the year 1400. the aim of this paper is to pres...
Background and Aim: Health surveillance systems are now paying more attention to infectious diseases, largely because of emerging and re-emerging infections. The main objective of this research is presenting a statistical method for modeling infectious disease incidence based on the Bayesian approach.Material and Methods: Since infectious diseases have two phases, namely epidemic and non-epidem...
This paper presents the analysis of a renewal input finite buffer queue wherein the customers can decide either to join the queue with a probability or balk. The service process is Markovian service process ($MSP$) governed by an underlying $m$-state Markov chain. Employing the supplementary variable and imbedded Markov chain techniques, the steady-state system length distributions at pre...
In order to optimize the planning and management of natural resources and the environment, it is essential to know the status of land cover changes over the past decades. Modeling land cover change can provide valuable information for better understanding of this process, determining of effective factors and forecasting of regions subject to change. This study aimed to determine and simulate th...
background & aim: congenital hypothyroidism (ch) is one of the most common endocrine diseases and is a major cause of preventable mental retardation. early diagnosis of ch can help prevent future diseases. although time series techniques are often utilized to forecast future status, they are inadequate to deal with count data with overdispersion. the aim of this study was to apply poisson hidde...
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