After over a decade of innovation surveys around the globe, it is time to evaluate the process and ask whether or not the Oslo Manual based system of surveys supports the overall objective of providing useful information on innovation. We propose to frame the debate on innovation surveys around the following conceptual and methodological dichotomies: manufacturing vs service sectors; private vs...

Longitudinal data collected through panel studies or life-history surveys represent a rich source for analysing movements in the labour market over the life-course. However, concerns arise over the proper design to collect these data reliably. This paper addresses the substantive issue related to the determinants of movements in the labour market tackling the methodological concerns referring t...

We develop uncertainty measures for point forecasts from surveys such as the Survey of Professional Forecasters, Blue Chip, or the Federal Open Market Committee’s Summary of Economic Projections. At a given point of time, these surveys provide forecasts for macroeconomic variables at multiple horizons. To track time-varying uncertainty in the associated forecast errors, we derive a multiple-hor...

This study uses data from pre- and post-crash surveys from the Cognitive Economics study to examine the impact of recent stock and labor market wealth losses on the planned retirement ages of older Americans. Regression estimates imply that the average wealth loss between July 2008 and May/June 2009 is associated with an increase in planned retirement age of approximately 2.5 months. Furthermor...

This paper surveys empirical Phillips curve and wage curve models for The Netherlands. It provides a simple theoretical model with which an appropriate specification for Phillips curve and wage curve models can be derived, which reckons with labour market tightness and fits into a flow model of the labour market. We find that in particular the short term unemployment-vacancy ratio and flows fro...

A substantial decline in market-based measures of inflation expectations has raised concerns about low future inflation. An important question to address is whether these measures contain information that can improve upon alternative forecasting methods. This analysis finds that market-based inflation forecasts generally are no more accurate than surveys of professional forecasters or simple fo...

Convergence in Institutions and Market Outcomes: Cross-Country and Time-Series Evidence from the BEEPS Surveys in Transition Economies This paper uses the BEEPS firm-level data to study the process of convergence of transition countries with developed market economies. The primary focus of the study is on competition and market structure, finance and the structure of lending to firms, and how f...

This paper reviews and interprets changes in rural livelihoods in southern Malawi following market liberalisation. It argues that, by reducing household maize production, market liberalisation has increased the need for resourcepoor smallholders to develop market strategies that provide them with income security. Whereas previous scenarios for poverty elimination in Malawi were based either on ...

BACKGROUND Concerns about appropriate pricing strategies and the high market share of subsidized condoms prompted Population Services International (PSI)/Myanmar to adopt a total market approach (TMA). This article presents data on the size and composition of the Myanmar condom market, identifies inefficiencies and recommends methods for better targeting public subsidy. METHODOLOGY Data on co...