Employing the dataset of WTI oil spot price and stock price index in China Brazil, India, US, German, France, UK and Japan, this paper obtains five subinterval of whole sample range through a nonparametric multiple change point algorithms. Furthermore, it analyses dependence between oil spot price and stock price index through copula model and computes the value of VaR and ES based on simulatio...

During the first quarter of 2002, the price of crude oil averaged $19.67 per barrel. Four years later, in the first quarter of 2006, the average price of oil had risen to $63 per barrel. Indeed, the high price of oil may not be a short-lived phenomenon: Futures markets indicate that investors expect the price of oil to remain above $70 per barrel through 2008. For the postwar U.S. economy, the ...

Fluctuations in crude oil price significantly impact the global economic market. A rise or a fall leads to redistribution of wealth in both oil-exporting and importing countries. Under such background, efficient and accurate predictions for crude oil price are critical for a stable economic development. However, crude oil price forecasting has been proved to be an extremely tough task, due to i...

Continuous increase in oil pricing is not only causing difficulties to consumer but the imbalance in demand and supply is impacting the producer and refineries also. Consumer may adjust the demand dynamically as per the price fluctuation but oil major cannot change the production so dynamically. The recommended solution is the latest technology which could optimize the production, meeting the i...

Generally, high oil prices slow economic growth, cause inflationary pressures and creates global imbalances. In addition, oil price volatility increase uncertainty and restrain the much-needed investment in the capital market. Thus, this paper applies the Augmented Dickey Fuller and Johansen Co-integration Tests in which the effect of oil price volatility, crude oil price and stock price is ana...

oil prices may be having a direct and indirect effect through the exchange rate on the price of agricultural commodities. in this paper, the impact of world oil prices and exchange rate shocks on prices of specific agricultural commodities including wheat, corn, soybeans and sunflowers in iran is discussed. for this purpose, vector autoregressive model with monthly data over the period 2010-199...

 The oil price shocks are an important source that affect on TOT in both oil exporting and importing countries. Hence, this paper compares the effects of real oil price shock on TOT in both oil importing and exporting countries, using Panel Data technique and during 1980-2010. To the best of our knowledge, we applied the nonlinear approach in order to assess the asymmetric impact of the oil pri...