We develop a theory of low-frequency movements in inflation expectations, and use it to interpret joint dynamics expectations for the United States other countries over postwar period. In our theory, long-run are endogenous. They driven by short-run surprises, way that depends on recent forecasting performance monetary policy. This distinguishes from common explanations properties inflation. Th...

We study optimal monetary policy in an analytically tractable heterogeneous agent New Keynesian model with rich cross-sectional heterogeneity. Optimal differs from a representative benchmark because can affect consumption inequality, by stabilizing risk arising both idiosyncratic shocks and unequal exposures to aggregate shocks. The trade-off between productive efficiency, price stability is su...

We provide a new channel through which monetary policy has distributional consequences at business cycle frequencies. show that an unexpected easing increases labor income inequality between high-skilled and less-skilled workers. To rationalize these findings, we build New Keynesian DSGE model with asymmetric search-and-matching (SAM) frictions capital-skill complementarity (CSC) in production....

Partisanship of state governors affects the efficacy US federal fiscal policy. Using close election data, we find partisan differences in marginal propensity to spend intergovernmental transfers: Republican less than Democratic governors. Correspondingly, Republican-led states have lower debt, (delayed) taxes, and initially economic activity. A New Keynesian model a monetary union implies sizab...

The speci…cation of the accumulation function is critical for the properties and implications of structuralist and post-Keynesian models. A large Kaleckian literature assumes that investment is relatively insensitive to variations in the utilization rate of capital, and this extension of a standard short-run "Keynesian stability condition" to the long run has been defended by Lavoie and Dutt, a...

External capital inflow on a massive scale into the emerging market economies is a very significant phenomenon of recent years. Making distinctions between direct investment, real and financial, and portfolio investment and incorporating crowding in or crowding out effects we derive some results about the impact of higher inflow on output, investment and the exchange rare. A formula is suggeste...

Say’s Law maintains that there can never be a superabundance of all goods (if any good were available in greater supply than needed, such as water or air, it would no longer an economic at all) and if is excess some items are still goods, will matched with insufficiency others. The reputation Keynes (1936) was made part on the basis supposed refutation Law. This paper attempts to probe irration...

US federal transfers to individuals are large, countercyclical, vary geographically, and often credited with helping stabilize regional economies. This paper estimates the short-run effects of these using plausibly exogenous variation in temporary stimulus payments permanent Social Security benefit increases. States that received larger tended grow faster contemporaneously, a multiplier around ...

Purpose This brief note sheds light on the links between Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) United Nations. Design/methodology/approach Three alternative methods based keyword overlap to establish SDGs JEL are presented. Findings These simple linkages illustrate that themes have corresponding closely related classification codes. Research limitat...