Reuters news reports have become an accepted tool for empirical studies analyzing informational asymmetries in FX markets. This paper tests the accuracy of the Reuters reports for Swiss interventions in the foreign exchange market. The evidence finds that the time stamp of the Reuters reports does not always lie near the recorded time of the first intervention trade as is commonly assumed in ma...

In this paper we identify the main determinants of the exchange rate regimes in Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs). For this purpose, we use an ordered logit model for the official (de jure) and the actual (de facto) exchange rate classifications. We find that trade openness and concentration, inflation differentials, international reserves stocks, and financial conditions are the m...

3m (k) = dw d~S(k ,.,) for a system of Bosons of mass m at zero temperature and density n to the first approximation beyond the Bogoliubov (zeroth) approximation. The two-body interaction u is characterized by the s-wave scatteringlength and is taken to be a constant in k-space. The small dimensionless parameter g = 4irams 0, where s0 = (4iran) 1/2/m is the phonon speed in the zeroth approximat...

Analyzing International Monetary Fund (IMF) data, we find that overly optimistic growth expectations for a country induce economic contractions few years later. To isolate the causal effect, take an instrumental variable approach—exploiting randomness in allocation of IMF mission chiefs. We first document chiefs differ their individual degrees forecast optimism, yielding quasi-experimental vari...

The purpose of this study was to investigate the prevalence and genetic elements of oqxAB among Escherichia coli isolates from animals, retail meat, and humans (patients with infection or colonization) in Guangzhou, China. A total of 1,354 E. coli isolates were screened for oqxAB by PCR. Fifty oqxAB-positive isolates were further characterized by pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE), multilo...

We investigate which variables have supported growth in the euro area over last 30 years. This is a challenging task due to dimensionality problems: large set of potential determinants, limited data, and prospect that some could be non-stationary. assemble 35 real, financial, monetary, institutional for nine original countries covering period between 1990Q1 2016Q4. Using Weighted-Average Least ...

The hoped-for silver lining of euro-area austerity programs was to raise external competitiveness and improve current accounts. Using product- industry-level data for 12 countries over the period 1999–2018, we show that reductions in government spending reduce prices wages but only products with low import content industries export shares. This leads asymmetric expenditure switching, net export...

A model of a dependent central bank that internalizes the government’s budget constraint is used to examine the optimal composition of the euro zone. The model embodies the desire to stimulate output and to provide monetary financing to governments. Unable to pre-commit to first-best policies, the central bank produces excess inflation — a tendency partially reduced in a monetary union. On the ...

How much should we expect monetary integration to reduce differences among participating economies? Using data for the 50 U.S. states over 1929–1999, the paper finds that large differences across states persist in both business-cycle variability and correlations of state income with the U.S. as a whole. It is also shown that about a third of a state’s business-cycle volatility is explained by i...