in this paper, asymmetric effects of exchange rate fluctuation (according to positive and negative shocks) on real output were investigated. in the meantime, the study of behaviour of real output growth in iran’s economy over the period 1338-1386 was done. in specification of the output growth equation, in spite of considering positive and negative shocks of exchange rate, the effects of other ...

Economic Transition and the Exchange-Rate Regime Author(s): Jeffrey D. Sachs Reviewed work(s): Source: The American Economic Review, Vol. 86, No. 2, Papers and Proceedings of the Hundredth and Eighth Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association San Francisco, CA, January 5-7, 1996 (May, 1996), pp. 147-152 Published by: American Economic Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable...

The paper updates the answer to the question: what precisely is the exchange rate regime that China has put into place since 2005, when it announced a move away from the dollar peg? Is it a basket anchor with the possibility of cumulatable daily appreciations, as was announced at the time? We apply to this question a new approach to estimating countries’ de facto exchange rate regimes, a synthe...

We study financial fragility, exchange rate crises, and monetary policy in an open economy version of a Diamond-Dybvig model. The banking system, the exchange rate regime, and central bank credit policy are seen as parts of a mechanism intended to maximize social welfare; if the mechanism fails, banking crises and speculative attacks become possible. We compare currency boards, fixed rates, and...

We extend the basic random walk Markov-Switching model in two ways and evaluate the out-of-sample forecasting performance on the Japanese yen during 1995-2004. First, we estimate both a twoand also a three-regime Markov switching models. Second, we add four exogenous variables as suggested in the monetary theory. According to the modified DieboldMariano forecast equivalence test, the result sho...

The study of the relation between the exchange rates regime and international trade is done using an inter-disciplinary vision that contains knowledge from four different disciplines: economics, history, mathematics and computer sciences. In the case of pure theory of international trade, there is made an abstraction of the fact that international trade is done using money. The theoretical anal...