Many production line imbalances have been observed in the pursuit of higher profits. A sustainable production line, also called balanced, leads to lower costs, good production environments, and green manufacturing. A decision analysis method, such as production line evaluation, is often employed to help decision makers make sustainable decisions. In this study, a sustainable decision-making mod...

Evidentia.l rea.. '>oning in ex pert systems has often used ad-hoc uncertainty calculi. Although it is generally accepted that probability theory provides a firm theoretical fo undat ion, researchers have found some problems with its usc as a workable uncertainty calculus. Among these problems arc representation ol' ignorance, consistency of probabilistic judgements, and adjustment of a priori ...

Sense-making software for crime investigation should be based on a model of reasoning about evidence that is both natural and rationally well-founded. A formal model is proposed that combines AI formalisms for abductive inference to the best explanation and for defeasible argumentation. Stories about what might have happened in a case are represented as causal networks and possible hypotheses c...

Directed evidential graphical models are important tools for handling uncertain information in the framework of evidence theory. They obtain their efficiency by compactly representing (in)dependencies between variables in the network and efficiently reasoning under uncertainty. This paper presents a new dynamic evidential network for representing uncertainty and managing temporal changes in dat...

Judicial proof accrues evidence to confirm or deny hypotheses about world events relevant to a legal case. Software applications that seek to support the process of judicial proof must provide the user with sophisticated capabilities to represent and manipulate evidential reasoning for legal cases. This requires computational techniques to represent the actors, entities, events and context of w...

Intelligence analysts rely on reports that are subject to many varieties of uncertainty, such as noise in sensors; deception or error by human sources; or cultural misunderstanding. To be effective, intelligence analysts must understand the relationship between reports, the events or situations reported upon, and the hypotheses of interest to which those events or situations are evidential. Com...

In our previous series of studies to investigate the role of evidential reasoning in the RUBRIC system for full-text document retrieval (Tong et al., 1985; Tong and Shapiro, 1985; Tong and Appelbaum, 1987), we identified the important role that problem structure plays in the overall performance of the system. In this paper, we focus on these structural elements (which we now call"semantic struc...