We discuss the development of dynamic factor models for multivariate nancial time series, and the incorporation of stochastic volatility components for latent factor processes. Bayesian inference and computation is developed and explored in a study of the dynamic factor structure of daily spot exchange rates for a selection of international currencies. The models are direct gen-eralisations of ...

The Gaussian factor copula model is the market standard model for multi-name credit derivatives. Its main drawback is that factor copula models exhibit correlation smiles when calibrating against market tranche quotes. To overcome the calibration deficiency, we introduce a multi-period factor copula model by chaining one-period factor copula models. The correlation coefficients in our model are...

High-dimensional regression problems which reveal dynamic behavior occur frequently in many different fields of science. The dynamics of the whole complex system is typically analyzed by time propagation of few number of factors, which are loaded with time invariant functions of exploratory variables. In this thesis we consider dynamic semiparametric factor model, which assumes nonparametric lo...

This paper presents an approach to dynamic factor modeling in which variations can be idiosyncratic, block-specific, or common across blocks and units. Existing two level factor models do not usually account for variations at the block level which implies that these can be confounded with genuine common co-movements in the data. Specifying the block structure also facilitates interpretation of ...

We introduce a novel dynamic model for discrete time-series data, in which the temporal sampling may be nonuniform. The model is specified by constructing a hierarchy of Poisson factor analysis blocks, one for the transitions between latent states and the other for the emissions between latent states and observations. Latent variables are binary and linked to Poisson factor analysis via Bernoul...

This study examines the dynamic relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and total factor productivity having controlled for other channels of external openness: exports and imports in four ASEAN countries: Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand. We employ the panel data analysis PDA (fixed effect and dynamic panel models) as well as the panel cointegration and Granger causali...

This paper identifies the current limitations of electronic remote authentication systems and presents a new remote authentication system that addresses these limitations. Examples of these limitations can be easily observed in everyday life. Some more common examples include: credit card theft, identity theft, insurance fraud and hacking of private computer networks. Our proposed solution incl...

A new class of space-time models derived from standard dynamic factor models is proposed. The temporal dependence is modeled by latent factors while the spatial dependence is modeled by the factor loadings. Factor analytic arguments are used to help identify temporal components that summarize most of the spatial variation of a given region. The temporal evolution of the factors is described in ...

Macroeconometricians face a peculiar data structure. On the one hand, the number of years for which there is reliable and relevant data is limited and cannot readily be increased other than by the passage of time. On the other hand, for much of the postwar period statistical agencies have collected monthly or quarterly data on a great many related macroeconomic, financial, and sectoral variable...