نتایج جستجو برای: conditional models have had better performance relative to conditional models further
تعداد نتایج: 11255614 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
In this study we compare a set of Markov Regime-Switching GARCH models in terms of their ability to forecast the Tehran stock market volatility at different time intervals. SW-GARCH models have been used to avoid the excessive persistence that usually found in GARCH models. In SW-GARCH models all parameters are allowed to switch between a low or high volatility regimes. Both Gaussian and fat-...
چکیده روش های متعددی برای برآورد رواناب حاصل از بارش در حوضه های آبریز وجود دارد. یکی از این روش ها استفاده از مدل های هیدرولوژیکی است. با استفاده از مدل های هیدرولوژیکی و شبیه سازی فرآیندهای هیدرولوژیکی می توان با صرف کمترین زمان و هزینه، رواناب و مولفه های دیگر چرخ? هیدرولوژیکی را برآورد کرد. از آنجا که در حوضه های آبریز اندازه گیری تمام کمیت های مورد نیاز برای تحلیل رواناب ممکن نیست، انتخاب...
empirical researches have shown that in highly volatile market, conditional correlation between returns is stronger, so diversification cannot reduce risk. to test this claim in iran’s financial market, quintiles of stock return distribution have been estimated by kernel density and garch models. then, average conditional correlation, error variance and conditional capm has been calculated to t...
The purpose of this study is to optimize the stock price forecasting model with meta-innovation method in pharmaceutical companies.In this research, stock portfolio optimization has been done in two separate phases.The first phase is related to forecasting stock futures based on past stock information, which is forecasting the stock price using artificial neural network.The neural network used ...
Markowitz model is the first modern formulation of portfolio optimization problem. Relyingon historical return of stocks as basic information and using variance as a risk measure aretow drawbacks of this model. Since Markowitz model has been presented, many effortshave been done to remove theses drawbacks. On one hand several better risk measures havebeen introduced and proper models have been ...
Objective: Schizophrenia is to be emphasized due to its high prevalence, severity of symptoms and frequent recurrences. In this study the hazard of recurrence of Schizophrenia was analyzed by using recurrent events models. Materials & Methods: This study was an observational prospective study. Data was gathered from 159 registered schizophrenia patients at Razi Psychiatric Center. The type I...
teachers beliefs have usually been left unattended in the realm of educational research in iranian context. one of those beliefs which seems to impact teachers performance in the classroom is their sense of self-efficacy, which refers to teachers belief in their ability to enhance student achievement and in bringing about positive learning outcomes. the present study aimed to investigate the pr...
in this paper, we investigate variations of gold coin price and also probe to model the fluctuations and conditional variance of coin market returns. the data consist of daily market prices of gold coin over the 1380 – 1386 period. since volatility clustering is viewed in time series of returns, we employ arch (autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity) methodology in order to model the var...
abstract this paper discusses several commonly used models for strategic marketing¹ including market environmental analysis methods (i.e. swot and pest analysis) and strategic marketing tools and techniques (i.e. boston matrix and shell directional policy matrix)and shows how these models may help a firm to achieve its strategic goals. at first, the main reason for doing this research is de...
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