This paper investigates the pricing efficiency and hedging effectiveness of the Winnipeg barley futures market, using the Chicago corn futures market as a norm. Several tests of pricing efficiency were conducted and the stability of the basis was studied. The barley futures market operates in a heavily regulated economic environment and this is shown to impact on both price behavior and hedging...

This paper examined the volatility spillover effects between futures market and spot market in China, using both VAR model and TVP-VAR model. This study found strong bi-directional volatility spillovers between CSI futures and spot markets, and the change of futures’ volatility decreased the change of spot market’s volatility. This results support the hypothesis that the risk management functio...

This paper studies equilibrium in the futures market for a commodity in a single good economy, which is populated by heterogeneous producers and speculators. The commodity is traded only in the spot market at harvest whereas futures contracts written on the commodity are traded continuously. The model illustrates the role of heterogeneity and non-tradeness in a futures market equilibrium. The r...

This paper proposes a convenience yield-based pricing for commodity futures, which embeds incompleteness of commodity futures markets in convenience yields. By using the pricing method, we conduct empirical analyses of the prices of WTI crude oil, heating oil, and natural gas futures traded on the NYMEX in order to assess the incompleteness of energy futures markets. We show that the fluctuatio...

This study is devoted to analyzing the development of the GKO market in Russia. The period of time considered is September 1996-September 1997. Interaction of two segments of the market is analyzed: futures market and secondary market. It is proved that there exists a risk premium on the futures market that leads to underpricing on the futures market. That is the futures price is no longer an u...

Future contracts in commodity market with limited maturities are primarily used for hedging commodity price-fluctuation risks or for taking advantage of price movements, rather than for the buying or selling of the actual cash commodity. This paper is an effort to analyze the market efficiency of the Indian commodity market and volatility spillover effects between the spot and future market wit...

The efficient market hypothesis has been widely tested and, with few exceptions, found consistent with the data in a wide variety of markets: the New York and American Stock Exchanges, the Australian, English, and German stock markets, various commodity futures markets, the Over-theCounter markets, the corporate and government bond markets, the option market, and the market for seats on the New...

This study examines the impact of migration to electronic trading on the relative informational efficiency between an index futures contract and the underlying cash index. The recent move to electronic trading of the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index futures contract provides an opportunity to study how the change affects the effective bid and ask spread in the futures market and the dynamic relationsh...

~t1JNCE the introduction of futures trading in 3-month Treasury bills in 1976, yields on these futures contracts have been examined for clues as to market expectations of the future course of interest rates. Although there are difficulties in isolating these expectations, the yields on futures contracts do embody information about market expectations of future interest rates.’ However, similar ...