نتایج جستجو برای: wind power uncertainty
تعداد نتایج: 667114 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
The operation planning problem encounters several uncertainties in terms of the power system’s parameters such as load, operating reserve and wind power generation. The modeling of those uncertainties is an important issue in power system operation. The system operators can implement different approaches to manage these uncertainties such as stochastic and fuzzy methods. In this paper, new ...
Wind farms provide electricity with no direct emissions. However, their output cannot be forecasted perfectly, even a short time ahead. Consequently, power systems with large amounts of wind power may need to keep extra fossil-fired generators turned on and ready to provide power if wind farm output drops unexpectedly. In this work, I introduce a new model for estimating the uncertainty in shor...
One of the critical challenges of wind power integration is the variable and uncertain nature of the resource. This paper investigates the variability and uncertainty in wind forecasting for multiple power systems in six countries. An extensive comparison of wind forecasting is performed among the six power systems by analyzing the following scenarios: (i) wind forecast errors throughout a year...
The main purpose of this study is to provide three simulation-based risk management models for optimal placement of wind turbines in Khodabandeh city (located in the south of Zanjan province) taking into account the wake effect and uncertainty in wind speed and direction. For this purpose, wind speed and direction data were collected, then wind speed and direction uncertainty was modeled by Mon...
The deterministic methods generally used to solve DC optimal power flow (OPF) do not fully capture the uncertainty information in wind power, and thus their solutions could be suboptimal. However, the stochastic dynamic AC OPF problem can be used to find an optimal solution by fully capturing the uncertainty information of wind power. That uncertainty information of future wind power can be wel...
In this paper, a new method to review the role of wind units as an energy-producer in the scheduling problem of unit commitment is presented. Today, renewable energy sources due to lack of environmental pollution, absence of dependence on fossil fuels, and consequently a very low marginal cost, have been receiving considerable attention in power system. But these sources are associated with unc...
This paper deals with the development of offering strategies for a wind power producer considering a stochastic model. Several scenarios are analyzed and two kinds of uncertainty are simultaneously handled: wind power and electricity market prices. The proposed approach allows evaluating production and offering strategies to be submitted to the electricity market with the goal of maximizing pro...
In this paper a day-ahead planning algorithm for a multi-reservoir hydropower system coordinated with wind power is developed. Coordination applies to real situations, where wind power and hydropower are owned by different utilities, sharing the same transmission lines, though hydropower has priority for transmission capacity. Coordination is thus necessary to minimize wind energy curtailments ...
Numerous studies on wind power forecasting show that random errors found in the prediction results cause uncertainty in wind power prediction and cannot be solved effectively using conventional point prediction methods. In contrast, interval prediction is gaining increasing attention as an effective approach as it can describe the uncertainty of wind power. A wind power interval forecasting app...
Utilizing capacitor banks is very conventional in distribution network in order for local compensation of reactive power. This will be more important considering uncertainties including wind generation and loads uncertainty. Harmonics and non-linear loads are other challenges in power system which complicates the capacitor placement problem. Thus, uncertainty and network harmonics have been con...
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