Interest rates are inherently difficult to predict, and the simple random walk benchmark has proven hard to beat. But macroeconomics can help, because the long-run trend in interest rates is driven by the trend in inflation and the equilibrium real interest rate. When forecasting rates several years into the future, substantial gains are possible by predicting that the gap between current inter...

Forecasting future retail sales is one of the most important activities that form the basis for all strategic and planning decisions in effective operations of retail businesses as well as retail supply chains. This chapter illustrates how to best model and forecast retail sales time series that contain both trend and seasonal variations. The effectiveness of data preprocessing such as detrendi...

In this paper, we study the time series techniques for the monthly precipitation forecasting. The techniques used in this study are moving average procedure, support vector regression machine, and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model and hybrid procedure. Firstly, the moving average procedure is employed to find the trend; secondly, the support vector regression machine is ap...

Aim Apply methods of damped trend analysis to forecast inpatient glycemic control. Method Observed and calculated point-of-care blood glucose data trends were determined over 62 weeks. Mean absolute percent error was used to calculate differences between observed and forecasted values. Comparisons were drawn between model results and linear regression forecasting. Results The forecasted mea...

Items with irregular and sporadic demand profiles are frequently tackled by companies, given the necessity of proposing wider and wider mix, along with characteristics of specific market fields i.e., when spare parts are manufactured and sold . Furthermore, a new company entering into the market is featured by irregular customers’ orders. Hence, consistent efforts are spent with the aim of corr...

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES Japanese encephalitis (JE) is one of the dreaded mosquito-borne viral diseases mostly prevalent in south Asian countries including India. Early warning of the disease in terms of disease intensity is crucial for taking adequate and appropriate intervention measures. The present study was carried out in Dibrugarh district in the state of Assam located in the northeastern ...

In recent years, BTO (Build to Order) system is prevailing. It pursues short lead time, minimum stocks, and thereby minimum cost. But the high accuracy demand forecasting is inevitable for the parts manufacturers. In this paper, well organized BTO system in the sanitary materials manufacturer is seek with the aid of high accuracy demand forecasting, which is newly developed by us. Focusing that...