The logistic model has been very effective in forecasting many technological forecasting patterns. However, it has the characteristic of underestimating the forecasts in many situations. This is mainly due to the constraints imposed by the constant saturation level of the logistic growth curve. This paper proposes a variable asymptote logistic (VAL) model for forecasting electricity consumption...

Technology will play at least as vital a role in the 21st century as it did in the 20th. Therefore , it is important to address technology-related issues facing futures studies. My own two decades of experience in corporate planning and three in professional journal editing suggest a correlation of technological innovation clusters, corporate planning, and technological forecasting with the wel...

We propose a new conceptual model for understanding technological evolution that identifies the impact of social (e.g., market, economic, and political forces) and technological forces. We build on theories from technological forecasting, technology evolution, and innovation research to develop the concept of a technology ecosystem. By considering the influence of social forces, technical force...

Background and aims: Since accurate forecasts help inform decisions for preventive health-careintervention and epidemic control, this goal can only be achieved by making use of appropriatetechniques and methodologies. As much as forecast precision is important, methods and modelselection procedures are critical to forecast precision. This study aimed at providing an overview o...

The article forecasts emerging cyber-risks from the integration of AI in cybersecurity.