In this paper, a comparison study is presented on artificial intelligence and time series models in 1-hour-ahead wind speed forecasting. Three types of typical neural networks, namely adaptive linear element, multilayer perceptrons, and radial basis function, and ARMA time series model are investigated. The wind speed data used are the hourly mean wind speed data collected at Binalood site in I...

The renewable energy resources such as wind power have recently attracted more researchers’ attention. It is mainly due to the aggressive energy consumption, high pollution and cost of fossil fuels. In this era, the future fluctuations of these time series should be predicted to increase the reliability of the power network. In this paper, the dynamic characteristics and short-term predictabili...

through this article, the distribution of air pollutants in tehran have been simulated based on wind patterns with and without the presence of synoptic by tapm (a meso-scale model). the simulation covers three horizontal resolution domains 30, 15 and 5 kilometers. the pollutants chosen for this are co and pm10 and wind data is 10 meter height level. the result has shown that the model simulated...

wind speed is one of the characteristics of wind energy which its data is extracted from meteorological stations. in this study, the data obtained from the weather station in the city eqlid during a ten-year period has been used. weibull distribution was chosen as the best distribution function using fitting tests and estimation of some statistical parameters. the results showed that the averag...

The significant penetration rate of wind turbines in power systems made some challenges in the operation of the systems such as large-scale power fluctuations induced by wind farms. Gas-fired plants with fast starting ability and high ramping can better handle natural uncertainties of wind power compared to other traditional plants. Therefore, the integration of electrical and natural gas syste...

the goal of this study was to estimate the sensitivity of reference evapotranspiration (et0) to changes in meteorological parameters in the caspian region. long-term meteorological data (1961-2008) were obtained from three synoptic meteorological stations. the region was primarily classified into three climatic zones, based on de martonne climate classification. the penman–monteith equation was...

Wind environment in the populated built area especially in campus is important. This s tudy tes ted57 crossroad spots over of the whole campus in North China University of Technology (NCUT). The data of wind speed and direction were measured at fixed time and fixed place. The average, maximum values as well as the speed variation scale were calculated. Wind comfort criteria were adopted t...