نتایج جستجو برای: spillover effects and multivariate garch models
تعداد نتایج: 17141539 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
The present article studies the interactive relationships between oil price volatility and industries stocks of basic metals, petroleum and chemical products by using Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) and Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastisity (GARCH) models from March 2004 to March 2015 empirically . In this research, the VAR-GARCH model is proposed, which is develop...
This paper estimates the dynamic conditional correlations in the returns on Tapis oil spot and onemonth forward prices for the period 2 June 1992 to 16 January 2004, using recently developed multivariate conditional volatility models, namely the Constant Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH (CCCMGARCH) model of Bollerslev [1990], Vector Autoregressive Moving Average – GARCH (VARMAGARCH) m...
drought is transient phenomenon , slow , repetitive and integral part of the climate of each region. drought begins with a substantial reduction in precipitation over the long-term average rainfall and over time, reduced soil moisture and surface and ground water resources will continue to decrease. this phenomenon is the most important in bakhtegan basin because of its importance in strategic ...
Forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) for financial portfolios is a staggering task in financial risk management. The turmoil in financial markets as observed since September 2008 called for more complex VaR models, as ”standard” VaR approaches failed to anticipate the collective market movements faced during the financial crisis. Hence, recent research on portfolio management mainly focussed on mode...
The impacts of the tourism industry on economic growth can be divided into two categories: direct and indirect (spillover) effects. In the field of tourism, direct impacts have been the subject of many studies but the analysis of spillover effects, particularly the effects from tourism infrastructure development, have received less attention. This study, with an analytical approach and along wi...
Abstract The main objective of this paper is to investigate the volatility spillover between oil prices and Chinese industrial raw materials stock indices including oil, coal, iron non-ferrous metals. In order achieve task, OPEC WTI were used as benchmarks several multivariate GARCH models applied on daily closing for period from 2004 through 2014. Among models, VAR-GARCH model fits data best. ...
Using the data from GCC countries, this paper analyses co-movement between oil price, EU carbon allowance prices, global clean energy index and equity three counties, namely, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia United Arab Emirates. Almost no previous research has investigated dynamic interrelations in conventional markets, like those of against dramatic growth production new emissions trading schemes. Employ...
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