The popularity of realized measures and various linear models for volatility forecasting has been the focus of attention in the literature addressing energy markets’ price variability over the past decade. However, there are no studies to help practitioners achieve optimal forecasting accuracy by guiding them to a specific estimator and model. This paper contributes to this literature in two wa...

More than five years down the line Venezuela had been slipping into an economic cri-sis. An economy wholly dependent on the sale of oil and no diversification of economic production is sure to face such a crisis. The fluctuation in oil prices is sure to hurt the market and the economy. To make matters worse, Venezuela now faces a political crisis with two individuals claiming themselves to be P...

The world productions of olive oil reach 2,800,000 ton and 98% of this production is to be found in the Mediterranean basin, where this agricultural system has been developed for thousands of years, characterized by its adaptation to the environment and its empiricism. Several factors have modified the olive production and processing systems in the last decades. The crisis of traditional agricu...

Two prominent American specialists on the Russian economy present a fundamental analysis of basic economic factors explaining how the global financial crisis has played out in Russia and its implications for the country’s future. More specifically, the authors examine the consequences of Russia’s dependence on and addiction to resource (oil and gas) rents and of the management system put in pla...

What can be done to resolve the seemingly endless conflict in Sudan ? A nation of 36 million people, wracked by conflict for 34 of the last 45 years, it has generated some 4 million displaced people during the course of its war. It is estimated that over two million Sudanese people have died as a result of fighting and related starvation and disease. According to the International Crisis Group,...

This paper proposes a convenience yield-based pricing for commodity futures, which embeds incompleteness of commodity futures markets in convenience yields. By using the pricing method, we conduct empirical analyses of the prices of WTI crude oil, heating oil, and natural gas futures traded on the NYMEX in order to assess the incompleteness of energy futures markets. We show that the fluctuatio...

Due to limited energy resources, high energy demand and constrict emission norms led the researchers to find alternative fuel for IC engines. Due to the fossil fuel crisis, the development of alternative fuel technologies has drawn more attraction to deliver the replacement of fossil fuel. Many alternative fuels have been developed and commercialized like alcohols, biodiesel, LPG, CNG etc. pyro...

We conduct empirical analyses to model the volatility of stock market in Malaysia. The GARCH type models (symmetric and asymmetric GARCH) are used to model the volatility of stock market in Malaysia. Their performances are compared based on three statistical error measures tools, i.e. mean squared error, root means squared error and mean absolute percentage error for in sample and out sample an...

This study uses individual-level longitudinal data from Iceland, a country that experienced a severe economic crisis in 2008 and substantial recovery by 2012, to investigate the extent to which the effects of a recession on health behaviors are lingering or short-lived and to explore trajectories in health behaviors from pre-crisis boom, to crisis, to recovery. Health-compromising behaviors (sm...