The aims of this paper are estimate and forecast the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment, or nairu, for Brazilian unemployment time series data. In doing so, we introduce a methodology for estimating mixed additive seasonal autoregressive (masar) models, by the Generalized Method of Moments (gmm). Furthermore, in order to cover a lack in econometric literature, an asymptotic theory ...

This paper undertakes a cross-country study on the price-output gap relationship for selected industrial countries (Japan, the U.S., Germany, the U.K. and Canada). The estimation results show that the price-output gap relationship in these countries can be classified into two categories: (1) a Phillips Curve-type (in which the output gap fluctuation affects the inflation rate); and (2) a NAIRU ...

In Ireland the link between real disequilibrium (such as the unemployment gap) and inflation (either price or wage) is blurred by external factors, operating through traded goods price inflation. Attempts to extract information about the unobservable NAIRU from aggregate inflation measures, such as the HICP or wages inflation, are likely to be swamped by these external factors. This paper uses ...

The research investigates the causes of unemployment in Namibia, Nigeria and South Africa and the role of Capital Accumulation in reducing the unemployment profile of these economies as proposed by the post-Keynesian economics. This is conducted through extensive review of literature on the NAIRU models and focused on the post-Keynesian view of unemployment within the NAIRU framework. The NAIRU...

The average unemployment rate for 1997 was 4.9 percent, well below most estimates of the nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU).1 One would therefore have expected to see an increase in inflation in 1997; yet, as measured by the CPI, inflation fell from 3.3 percent to 1.7 percent (December to December). This phenomenon of low unemployment accompanied by falling inflation has pro...