نتایج جستجو برای: inflation uncertainty

تعداد نتایج: 147938  

Journal: :European Economic Review 2003

Journal: :international journal of business and development studies 0

this paper investigates the relationship between inflation and growth uncertainty in iran for the period of 1988-2008 by using quarterly data. we employ generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in mean (garch-m) model to estimate time-varying conditional residual variance of growth, as a standard measures of growth uncertainty. the empirical evidence shows that growth uncertain...

2004
Frank A. Schmid

concept of inflation compensation. Finally, we provide evidence that Federal Reserve communication and surprises in monetary policy actions bear on the uncertainty surrounding the expected rate of inflation. For one concept of inflation expectations, we find that Federal Reserve communication reduces uncertainty about the future rate of inflation, while surprises in monetary policy actions incr...

This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty for the period of 1990-2009 by using monthly data in the Iranian economy. The results of a two-step procedure such as Granger causality test which uses generated variables from the first stage as regressors in the second stage, suggests a positive relation between the mean and the variance of inflation. However...

1999
George K. Davis

Several authors report regressions where inflation slows economic growth. These results have been criticized because of their sensitivity to the sample analyzed and because there does not appear to be a strong theoretical reason for believing that inflation significantly lowers growth. Indeed, researchers have suggested that inflation proxies for inflation uncertainty or poor economic policy. M...

2009
Guglielmo Maria Caporale Luca Onorante Paolo Paesani

This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the euro area, and investigates the linkages between them in a VAR framework, also allowing for the possible impact of the policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and inflation uncertainty have declined st...

2009
GUGLIELMO MARIA CAPORALE LUCA ONORANTE PAOLO PAESANI Guglielmo Maria Caporale

This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the euro area, and investigates the linkages between them in a VAR framework, also allowing for the possible impact of the policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and inflation uncertainty have declined st...

2003
A. Steven Holland

inflation rates have risen around the woiid over the last 20 years the impact of inflation has become a topic of widespread interest, Evidence suggests that higher inflation imposes real costs on society by leading to increased uncertainty about futur-e inflation and, as a result, a misallocation of resources,’ This article examines the impact of inflation uncertainty on the allocation of labor...

2015
Matthias Hartmann Jan Roestel

This study provides cross country robust evidence on interdependencies among inflation, output growth and respective uncertainties for the current era of low inflation policies. We attribute the extant empirical disagreement on these relations to the fact that long sampling periods and single economies are typically considered for analysis. In this study, VARX-MGARCH-M models are estimated for ...

Journal: :Journal of Monetary Economics 1992

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