نتایج جستجو برای: financial forecasting
تعداد نتایج: 185933 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Artificial neural network is one of the intelligent methods in Artificial Intelligence. There are many decisions of different tasks using neural network approach. The forecasting problems are high challenge and researchers use different methods to solve them. The financial tasks related to forecasting, classification and management using artificial neural network are considered. The technology ...
The excessive level of construction business failures and their association with financial difficulties has placed financial management in the forefront of many business imperatives. This has highlighted the importance of cash flow forecasting and management which has given rise to the development of several forecasting models. The traditional approach to the use of project financial models has...
improving time series forecastingaccuracy is an important yet often difficult task.both theoretical and empirical findings haveindicated that integration of several models is an effectiveway to improve predictive performance, especiallywhen the models in combination are quite different. in this paper,a model of the hybrid artificial neural networks andfuzzy model is proposed for time series for...
In a competitive and dynamic market, financial institutions must forecast the proportion of mortgages that will become delinquent, default or prepay. This paper develops a novel forecasting model with nonstationary Markov chain and Grey forecasting, capable of predicting the likelihood of delinquency, default and prepayment. Home mortgage data, obtained by a major Taiwan financial institution f...
Quantification techniques are popular methods in empirical research for aggregating the qualitative predictions at the microlevel into a single figure. In this paper, we analyze the forecasting performance of various methods that are based on the qualitative predictions of financial experts for major financial variables and macroeconomic aggregates. Based on the Centre of European Economic Rese...
Financial market dynamics forecasting has long been a focus of economic research. A stochastic time effective function neural network (STNN) with principal component analysis (PCA) developed for financial time series prediction is presented in the present work. In the training modeling, we first use the approach of PCA to extract the principal components from the input data, then integrate the ...
Improving time series forecastingaccuracy is an important yet often difficult task.Both theoretical and empirical findings haveindicated that integration of several models is an effectiveway to improve predictive performance, especiallywhen the models in combination are quite different. In this paper,a model of the hybrid artificial neural networks andfuzzy model is proposed for time series for...
In the financial time series forecasting field, the problem that we often encountered is how to increase the predict accuracy as possible using the noisy financial data. In this study, we discuss the use of supervised neural networks as the metamodeling technique to design a financial time series forecasting system to solve this problem. First of all, a crossvalidation technique is used to gene...
In recent years, authors have focused on modeling and forecasting volatility in financial series it is crucial for the characterization of markets, portfolio optimization and asset valuation. One of the most used methods to forecast market volatility is the linear regression. Nonetheless, the errors in prediction using this approach are often quite high. Hence, continued research is conducted t...
Despite several individual forecasting models that have been proposed in the literature, accurate forecasting is yet one of the major challenging problems facing decision makers in various fields, especially financial markets. This is the main reason that numerous researchers have been devoted to develop strategies to improve forecasting accuracy. One of the most well established and widely use...
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