In this paper I discuss in what way, if any, the collapse of Argentina’s experience with a currency board has affected the policy debate on the appropriate exchange rate regime in emerging and transition countries. More specifically, I deal with three issues: (1) I discuss some important aspects of the Argentine experience; (2) I provide a comparative evaluation of economic performance under st...

Jody S. Nicholson, Department of Psychology, University of Notre Dame; Kimberley S. Howard, National Center for Children and Families, Teachers College, Columbia University; John G. Borkowski, Department of Psychology, University of Notre Dame. The first author was supported by Grant Number T32 HD07184-27 from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. The second author was s...

We investigate global factors associated with bank capital ‡ows. We formulate a model of the international banking system where global banks interact with local banks. The solution highlights the bank leverage cycle as the determinant of the transmission of …nancial conditions across borders through banking sector capital ‡ows. A distinctive prediction of the model is that local currency apprec...

Opening the capital account allows financially constrained firms to raise capital from abroad. Since capital and skilled labor are relative complements, this increases the relative demand for skilled labor versus unskilled labor, leading to higher wage inequality. Using aggregate data and exploiting variation in the timing of capital account openings across 20 mainly European countries, I find ...

This paper presents a new measure of international gross capital flows and applies it to a global panel from 1970 to 2004. We explain why paying attention to the gross flows underlying net capital flows may be important and how our gross flow measure differs from the standard measure in the literature. For example, while by the standard measure a capital inflow decline more than fully explains ...

This paper tests for uncovered interest parity (UIP) using daily data for 23 developing and developed countries during the crisis-strewn 1990s. We find that UIP works better on average in the 1990s than in previous eras in the sense that the slope coefficient from a regression of exchange rate changes on interest differentials yields a positive coefficient (which is sometimes insignificantly di...

Despite success along some dimensions, international business cycle models have difficulty replicating several salient features of international capital flows among developed countries. In particular, net exports and current account balances are much more persistent in the data than in standard models. We account for this feature of the data with a simple onegood two-country model in which tech...

We use panel probit models with unobserved heterogeneity and serially correlated errors in order to analyze the determinants and the dynamics of current-account reversals for a panel of developing and emerging countries. The likelihood evaluation of these models requires high-dimensional integration for which we use a generic procedure known as Efficient Importance Sampling (EIS). Our empirical...