In this study, water management allocated to the agricultural sector’ was analyzed using stochastic dynamic programming under uncertainty conditions. The technical coefficients used in the study referred to the agricultural years, 2013-2014. They were obtained through the use of simple random sampling of 250 farmers in the region for crops wheat, barley, melon, watermelon and ruby grapes under ...

The financial life often requires the calculation of some sort of expectations: expected utility, expected payoffs, expected losses, which are expressed as certain transforms of some random variables. We shall provide a method, based on the copula concept, to calculate the probabilities that these transforms belong to a certain neighbourhood of their expected values. First, we recall briefly th...

Generally, in the financial literature, the notion of quadratic VaR is implicitly confused with the Delta-Gamma VaR, because more authors dealt with portfolios that contained derivatives instruments. In this paper, we postpone to estimate both the expected shortfall and Value-at-Risk of a quadratic portfolio of securities (i.e equities) without the Delta and Gamma Greeks, when the joint log-ret...

Article history: Received 26 September 2009 Received in revised form 22 March 2010 Accepted 6 April 2010 Available online 13 April 2010 In this paper, I analyze the predictability of returns on value and growth portfolios and examine time variation of the expected value premium. As a primary tool, I use the filtering technique, which accounts for time variation in expected cash flows and explic...

Computer-based prompting and reminder systems have been shown to be highly effective in increasing rates of preventive services delivery. However, there are many more recommended preventive services than can be practically included in a typical clinic visit. Therefore prioritization of preventive services prompts is necessary. We describe two approaches to prioritizing preventive services promp...

Contextual preference reversals occur when a preference for one option over another is reversed by the addition of further options. It has been argued that the occurrence of preference reversals in human behavior shows that people violate the axioms of rational choice and that people are not, therefore, expected value maximizers. In contrast, we demonstrate that if a person is only able to make...