Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) is one of the popular linear models in time series forecasting during the past three decades. Recent research activities in forecasting with arti/cial neural networks (ANNs) suggest that ANNs can be a promising alternative to the traditional linear methods. ARIMA models and ANNs are often compared with mixed conclusions in terms of the superiorit...

The forecast of fluctuations and prices is the major concern in financial markets. Thus, developing an accurate and robust forecasting decision model is critically favorable to the investors. As gold has shown a special capability to smooth inflation fluctuations, governors use gold as a price controlling lever. Thus, more information about future gold price trends will help to make the firm de...

Both the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) and the Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models have been applied to teletraffic scenarios in recent years. These models became popular after the discovery that Ethernet and VBR video data appear to possess the property of selfsimilarity. However the results presented in this paper suggest that Ethernet data is more impulsive than traff...

energy price forecast is the key information for generating companies to prepare their bids in the electricity markets. however, this forecasting problem is complex due to nonlinear, non-stationary, and time variant behavior of electricity price time series. accordingly, in this paper a new strategy is proposed for electricity price forecast. the forecast strategy includes wavelet transform (wt...

Since 1990s, many literatures have shown that connectionist models, such as back propagation, recurrent network, and RBF (Radial Basis Function) outperform the traditional models, MA (Moving Average), AR (Auto Regressive), and ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) in time series prediction. Neural based approaches to time series prediction require the enough length of historical mea...

in recent decades artificial neural networks (anns) have shown great ability in modeling and forecasting non-linear and non-stationary time series and in most of the cases especially in prediction of phenomena have showed very good performance. this paper presents the application of artificial neural networks to predict drought in yazd meteorological station. in this research, different archite...

Spam has been one of the most difficult problems to be addressed since the invention of Internet. Outbound spam can reflect the information security level of an organization as most spam emails are generated by compromised computers. Understanding the trend of outbound spam can help organizations adopt proactive policies and measures toward a more informed decision on resource allocation in ter...

Both theoretical and empirical findings have suggested that combining different models can be an effective way to improve the predictive performance of each individual model. It is especially occurred when the models in the ensemble are quite different. Hybrid techniques that decompose a time series into its linear and nonlinear components are one of the most important kinds of the hybrid model...