In this work, the time series modeling was used to predict the Tazareh coal mine risks. For this purpose, initially, a monthly analysis of the risk constituents including frequency index and incidence severity index was performed. Next, a monthly time series diagram related to each one of these indices was for a nine year period of time from 2005 to 2013. After extrusion of the trend, seasonali...

Traffic accidents at urban intersections result in a huge cost to society in tenns of death, injury, lost productivity, and property damage. Unfortunately, the elements that effect the frequency of intersection accidents are not well understood and, as a result, it is difficult to predict the effectiveness of specific intersection improvements that are aimed at reducing accident frequency. Usin...

Compliance to the Indiana Department of Transportation's (INDOT) highway design criteria is considered essential to ensure the roadway safety. However, for a variety of reasons, situations arise where exceptions to standard-design criteria are requested and accepted after review. This research explores the impact that design exceptions have on the accident severity and accident frequency in Ind...

Modeling traffic-accident frequency is a critical issue to better understand the accident trends and effectiveness of current traffic policies practices in different countries. The main objectives this study are model road accidents, fatalities injuries Jordan, using modeling techniques, including regression, artificial neural network (ANN) autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model...

This paper presents an empirical inquiry into the applicability of zero-altered counting processes to roadway section accident frequencies. The intent of such a counting process is to distinguish sections of roadway that are truly safe (near zero-accident likelihood) from those that are unsafe but happen to have zero accidents observed during the period of observation (e.g. one year). Tradition...

rfid has lots of potential benefits for supply chain management; that`s why it has attracted many industry practitioners all around the world, especially in recent years. rfid is one of the key solutions that information technology has provided for industry. the main issue in implementing and also developing this unique technology in the supply chain management of every industry appears to be t...

In the study, consequences analysis of Akçagaz LPG Facilities accident was conducted.  The consequences analysis, modeling studies were performed by the use of EFFECTS 10.0 Software over two liquefied gas LOC (Loss of Containment) scenarios. One of the scenarios was G1: Instantaneous release corresponding to BLEVE (Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Explosion) and the other was G2: Release in 1...

We conducted statistical analyses and used modeling techniques to develop derailment probabilities for freight trains and freight cars operating on North American railroads. Knowing the expected frequency of derailment and the conditional probabilities of derailment for individual cars enables estimation of the derailment risk as it is affected by train length, operating speed, and positioning ...

A method has been developed to estimate the relative accident risk posed by different patterns of driving over a multiday period. The procedure explicitly considers whether a driver is on duty or off duty for each half hour of each day during the period of analysis. From a data set of over 1,000 drivers, nine distinct driving patterns are identified. Membership in the patterns is determined exc...