The behavior of exchange rate in various exchange markets is not seemingly predictable, while there are different forecasting methods to do so. One of these methods is to use fractals to identify exchange rate behavior. This paper has made attempts to explore the properties of fractals in Iran’s exchange market in order to it can predict and analyze the trend of exchange rate. Accordingly, th...

We examine herding behavior of domestic and foreign investors in the Indonesian stock market. We document that both domestic and foreign investors from a particular brokerage firm tend to herd. The foreign investors exhibit a greater propensity to herd than domestic investors. However, when examining investor trading across brokerage firms, we find only weak evidence of herding by domestic inve...

This paper presents a simultaneous model of exchange rates between the US dollar, German mark and Japanese yen. In addition to incorporating long-run equilibria and short-run dynamics, the model is designed to capture complex interaction between currencies not normally considered in exchange rate models. The model is demonstrated to be an economically and statistically superior forecasting tool...

We investigate the effect of a stock market liberalization on industry growth in emerging markets. Consistent with the view that liberalization reduces financing constraints, we find that industries that are more externally dependent and face better growth opportunities grew faster following liberalization. However, this growth increase appears to come from an expansion in the size of existing ...

Article history: Received 9 March 2007 Accepted 9 July 2008 Available online 12 October 2008 We examine four European stock indices and the prices of eight major German stocks for indications of psychological barriers. The frequency, (expected) returns, intraday volatility and trading volume of these assets are studied contingent on whether the prices lie within a certain range around round num...

The finance literature documents the relation between labor income and the crosssection of stock returns. A possible explanation is the hedging of investors with relative wealth concerns who pay a premium for securities that help them to keep up with their peers. Relative wealth concerns imply a local effect and a negative risk premium associated with the risk factor, since investors are willin...

In this analysis the interdependence between foreign exchange markets and stock markets for selected accession and cohesion countries is discussed. This includes basic theoretical approaches. Monthly data for the nominal stock market indices and nominal exchange rates are used, where Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Greece, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovenia, and Hungary are included in the analysis. Fr...

We introduce habit formation in a model that studies the link between international trade in financial assets, economic growth, and welfare. As with time separable preferences asset trade increases the mean growth rate, but it also increases growth-volatility. We demonstrate that the welfare gain from asset trade is lower with habit persistence in consumption. This reflects that the habit-formi...

The paper deals with the valuation and the hedging of non path-dependent European options on one or several underlying assets in a model of an international economy allowing for both, interest rate risk and exchange rate risk. Using martingale theory and in particular the change of numeraire technique we provide a unified and easily applicable approach to pricing and hedging exchange options on...

Internationally operating firms naturally face the decision whether or not to hedge the currency risk implied by foreign investments. In a recent paper, Bos, Mahieu and van Dijk (2000) evaluate the returns from optimal and alternative currency hedging strategies, for a series of 7 models, using Bayesian inference and decision analysis. The models differ in the way time-varying means, variances ...