نتایج جستجو برای: روش arfima

تعداد نتایج: 369809  

Journal: :Physical review. E 2016
Hanna Loch-Olszewska Grzegorz Sikora Joanna Janczura Aleksander Weron

In this paper, we study ergodic properties of α-stable autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) processes which form a large class of anomalous diffusions. A crucial practical question is how long trajectories one needs to observe in an experiment in order to claim that the analyzed data are ergodic or not. This will be solved by checking the asymptotic convergence to 0 of...

2004
HENGHSIU TSAI

We study the autocorrelation structure and the spectral density function of aggregates from a discrete-time process. The underlying discrete-time process is assumed to be a stationary AutoRegressive Fractionally Integrated MovingAverage (ARFIMA) process, after suitable number of differencing if necessary. We derive closed-form expressions for the limiting autocorrelation function and the normal...

2015
Sang Hoon Kang Seong-Min Yoon

In this paper, we study the dual long memory property of the Korean stock market. For this purpose, the ARFIMA–FIGARCH model is applied to two daily Korean stock price indices (KOSPI and KOSDAQ). Our empirical results indicate that long memory dynamics in the returns and volatility can be adequately estimated by the joint ARFIMA–FIGARCH model. We also found that the assumption of a skewed Stude...

ژورنال: :مجله برنامه ریزی و توسعه گردشگری 2015
حمید ابریشمی احمد قلی برکیش

پیش­بینی جریان آینده ی گردشگری ورودی برای تعیین مخارج سرمایه گذاری در صنعت گردشگری، هم برای بخش دولتی و هم برای بخش خصوصی، ضروری است. برای بخش دولتی و عمومی تخمین تقاضای گردشگری به منظور استفاده ی کارا از صنعت حمل ونقل و برنامه ریزی در نحوه ی تخصیص منابع حیاتی است. همچنین پیش بینی صحیح می­تواند برای بخش خصوصی مانند شرکت های حمل ونقل هوایی در برنامه ریزی و طرح ریزی خطوط هوایی، تجهیزات، امکانات ر...

حبیب‌اله‌ سالارزهی سیدحسن حسینی محمد دنیایی منصور کاشی,

این مقاله به بررسی عملکرد پیش بینی مدل های ARIMA و ARFIMA با استفاده از داده‌های روزانه بازده شاخص کل سهام تهران در بازه زمانی 04/09/1380 تا 09/09/1390 می پردازد. در این راستا جهت تخمین پارامتر d و دیگر پارامترها، از روشNLS  در بسته نرم‌افزار Oxmetric/pcgive  استفاده شد و پس از مقایسه نتایج مدل­های تحقیق؛ مدل ARFIMA بر اساس معیار AIC مدلی برتر در مدل سازی TEPIX مشخص گردید. همچنین از میان براورد...

1999
Mark J. Jensen

By design a wavelet’s strength rests in its ability to localize a process simultaneously in time-scale space. The wavelet’s ability to localize a time series in time-scale space directly leads to the computational efficiency of the wavelet representation of a N × N matrix operator by allowing the N largest elements of the wavelet represented operator to represent the matrix operator [Devore, et...

Journal: :International Journal of Enviornment and Climate Change 2022

Aims: To model the concentration variation of PM2.5 and PM10 in selected locations Delhi.
 Study Design: ARFIMA-GARCH model.
 Place Duration Study: The study was conducted by using daily (24 hour interval) data from three air quality monitoring stations Delhi namely, Narela, Okhla Phase II Pusa.
 Methodology: ARFIMA is applied as mean GARCH variance Results: series are stationary...

Journal: :Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 2021

In this work we study stationary linear time-series models, and construct analyse “score-matching” estimators based on the Hyvärinen scoring rule. We consider two scenarios: a single series of increasing length, an number independent fixed length. latter case there are variants, one full data, another sufficient statistic. empirical performance these in three special cases, autoregressive (AR),...

2004
Laura Mayoral

A new parametric minimum distance time-domain estimator for ARFIMA processes is introduced in this paper. The proposed estimator minimizes the sum of squared correlations of residuals obtained after filtering a series through ARFIMA parameters. The estimator is easy to compute and is consistent, asymptotically normally distributed and efficient for fractionally integrated (FI) processes with an...

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