نتایج جستجو برای: market volatility
تعداد نتایج: 193908 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
This study examines intraday relationships among the spot index, index futures, and the implied volatility index based on the VAR(1)-asymmetric BEKK-MGARCH model. Analysis of a high-frequency dataset from theKorean financialmarket confirms that there is a strong intraday market linkage between the spot index, KOSPI200 futures, and VKOSPI and that asymmetric volatility behaviour is clearly prese...
a r t i c l e i n f o Keywords: Multivariate GARCH model Optimal hedge ratio Market noise conditional volatility This paper introduces a new incomplete index and establishes a new optimal hedging model. We find that when the market micro-noise is perfectly negatively correlated with the return of futures market, market incomplete-ness depends on the relative level of noise volatility. Especiall...
We argue for incorporating the financial economics of market microstructure into the financial econometrics of asset return volatility estimation. In particular, we use market microstructure theory to derive the cross-correlation function between latent returns and market microstructure noise, which feature prominently in the recent volatility literature. The cross-correlation at zero displacem...
This paper explores the role of monetary policy in a segmented stock market model. Previous research (e.g Mankiw and Zeldes (1991), Vissing-Jørgensen (2002)) reports that only a fraction of the households participates in the stock market. In this paper participating households have stochastic dividend as part of their income and are, therefore, subject to financial market risk. Also, only parti...
We use daily price indices obtained from the Morgan Stanley Capital International to construct realized volatility for 18 individual stock markets, including the US, and the world stock market. In contrast with the CAPM, we find that volatility by itself does not forecast excess returns in most countries; however, it becomes a significant predictor when combined with the US consumptionwealth ra...
A well developed literature exists in relation to modeling and forecasting asset return volatility. Much of this relate to the development of time series models of volatility. This paper proposes an alternative method for forecasting volatility that does not involve such a model. Under this approach a forecast is a weighted average of historical volatility. The greatest weight is given to perio...
The fiscal and financial reforms carried out in Mexico in 2000 have encouraged a widespread presence of rating agencies and have allowed several States and Municipalities to raise funds through bond offerings in the capital market. Any local government in Mexico intending to access credit and capital markets must count with at least one credit rating from one of the three main agencies: FitchRa...
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