nowadays, non-oil exports growth and increase of share in the world trade with the aim of stopping the dependence of irans economy on oil are considered an important responsibility for the decision-makers in the state and a crucial economic goal as well. thus from among the factors influencing non-oil exports, the exchange rate policies have always played a very important role. this paper tries...

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the role of exchange rate uncertainty in determining foreign direct R&D investment into the UK. We estimate an econometric model of FDI in R&D, using a panel of manufacturing industries. Our results suggest that an increase in the volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate tends to relocate R&D investment from the Euro Area into the UK. A rise in the...

One of the striking features of the business cycles is the patterns of co-movement of output, inflation, interest rates, and real equity prices across countries. This paper empirically examines the effects of domestic and foreign monetary policies on Iranchr('39')s macroeconomic variables (including real production, inflation, short-term interest rate, and real exchange rate) using quarterly da...

This paper establishes the link of microstructure and macroeconomic factors with the timevarying conditional correlation of foreign exchange and excess equity returns. By using the proposed DCC model with exogenous variables, capital flows and interest rate differentials are shown to be significant determinants of this correlation which is inclusive of the short-run variation of both asset retu...

The goal of this study is to measure market prices of risk and the associated foreign exchange risk premia extending the approach proposed by Balduzzi and Robotti (2001) to an international framework. Estimations of minimum variance stochastic discount factors permits the determination of market prices of risk, which, in turn, in an international framework, allow to compute foreign exchange ris...

There is reliable evidence that simple rules used by traders have some predictive value over the future movement of foreign exchange prices. This paper will review some of this evidence and discuss the economic magnitude of this predictability. The profitability of these trading rules will then be analyzed in connection with central bank activity using intervention data from the Federal Reserve...

Recently, a dramatic accumulation of foreign exchange reserves has been widely observed among developing countries. The purpose of this paper is to explore what macroeconomic impacts accumulated foreign reserves have in developing countries. In the first part, we analyze a simple open economy model where increased foreign reserves reduce costs of liquidity risk. Given the amount of foreign rese...

‎The main purpose of this paper is to analyze the exchange rate volatility in Iran in the time period between 2011/11/27 and 2017/02/25 on a daily basis. As a tradable asset and as an important and effective economic  variable, exchange rate plays a decisive role in the economy of a country. In a successful economic management, the modeling and prediction of the exchange rate volatility is esse...

The RER which is theoretically influenced by the real interest rate differential (RRE) and currency excess return (CER), is statistically examined during 1990-2016. Accordingly, the stationarity of RER as null hypothesis is not approved in the Iranian economy. Therefore, the TVAR method is examined to analyze the nonstationary RER sample to two sub-periods stationary process which are both stat...