it is expected that inflation in a country with one currency is convergent in all regions. this has been associated with “convergence” directly. in policymakers’ viewpoint, convergence is a serious topic. although the topic of inflation is investigated in macroeconomics, some inflation indexes, for instance inflation of food prices has attracted special attention. generally, the issue of food i...

in regard to both implementation of the second phase of targeted subsidises and the effect of inflation resulted from first phase of it on economic of country, inflation content estimation on economic of country especially agriculture sector is necessary. in this research effect of increasing price of energy carriers on inflation in various reproduction sectors such as agriculture was investiga...

inflation forecasting has been one of the requirements for the implementation of monetary policy in countries which their monetary authorities are pursuing inflation targeting regime. however, owing to central bank independence in one hand and as well as the lagged effects of monetary policies on inflation in the other, the monetary authorities should have the sound perspective about the future...

the purpose of this study is finding the sensitivity of central bank independence measurements on its impact on inflation in iran. to this aim different measurements of the central bank independence were calculated using the indices of grilli et al. (1991), cukierman et al. (1992), mathew (2006) and dumiter (2009) for the period 1961-2012 . although results of correlation between cbi index and ...

this paper estimates the determinants of inflation in iran using a linear and non- linear regression model over the period 1959-2008. in the model specification, the conventional variables (liquidity, production and exchange rate) as well as positive and negative oil revenue shocks, monetary disequilibrium, and demand gap are considered. the results show that nonlinear time series regression mo...

this paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty for the period of 1990-2009 by using monthly data in the iranian economy. the results of a two-step procedure such as granger causality test which uses generated variables from the first stage as regressors in the second stage, suggests a positive relation between the mean and the variance of inflation. however...

We investigate the importance of trend inflation and the real-activity gap in explaining inflation in G7 countries since 1960. Our analysis is based on a bivariate unobserved components model of inflation and unemployment in which inflation is decomposed into a stochastic trend and a transitory component. As in recent implementations of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve, it is the transitory com...

This paper uses the European Commission’s Consumer Survey to assess whether inflation expectations have converged and whether inflation uncertainty has diminished following the introduction of the Euro in Europe. Consumers’ responses to the survey suggest that inflation expectations depend more on past national inflation rates than on the ECB’s anchor for price stability. The convergence in inf...

The fact that U.S. inflation has been remarkably low and stable over the past two decades prompts questions as to whether or not inflation persistence has changed to a lower level too. This paper employs the recently developed structural stability test with multiple regime shifts to model U.S. inflation dynamics over the past half century. Our empirical results suggest that the persistence of i...