About 80 percent of Iran is arid and semi-arid and about 35 percent of this area is susceptible to desertification hazard. Therefore desertification assessment and identification of the most important criteria for the assessment of risk and a basis for development of management plans is essential. This research was conducted in the semi-arid region of Agh-Band in the Golestan province, Iran wit...

A probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in terms of Arias intensity is presented for the city of Tehran. Tehran is the capital and the most populated city of Iran. From economical, political and social points of view, Tehran is the most significant city of Iran. Many destructive earthquakes happened in Iran in the last centuries. Historical references indicate that the old city of Rey and the...

Survival prediction from a large number of covariates is a current focus of statistical and medical research. In this paper, we study a methodology known as the compound covariate prediction performed under univariate Cox proportional hazard models. We demonstrate via simulations and real data analysis that the compound covariate method generally competes well with ridge regression and Lasso me...

Proportional Hazard Models arise from a straightforward generalization of the simple case of conditionally i.i.d., exponentially distributed random variables and, in a sense, can be considered as the idealized models in the statistical analysis of failure and survival data for lifetimes. For these reasons, they have been extensively studied in the literature. Despite of the richness of related ...

Abstract Ground motion scenarios exists for most of the seismically active areas around globe. They essentially correspond to shaking level maps at given earthquake return times which are used as reference likely under threat from future ground displacements. Being landslides in actively regions closely controlled by motion, one would expect that landslide susceptibility should change patterns ...

The traditional hazard analysis approaches applied to the socio-technical system can not cover the complex organization structures, the interactions between systems and human behaviors, the interrelated factors among sub-systems and the safety culture of specific societies. This paper presents an integrated hazard identification methodology named BFM-STPA(STPA hazard identification Based on For...

it is essential to use statistical models and theoretical analysis of the data for preparing comprehensive geological and seismic hazard mapping. a cellular automaton consists of an array of cells, each one of which has a finite number of possible states, together with a rule for updating all cells simultaneously based only on the states of neighboring cells. in the present paper, ising cellula...

Mathematical models for the tumour control probability (TCP) are used to estimate the expected success of radiation treatment protocols of cancer. There are several TCP models in the literature, from the simplest (Poissonian TCP) to the well-advanced stochastic birth-death processes. Simple and complex models often make the same predictions. Hence, here, we present a systematic study where we c...