Abstract: Accurate forecasting of carbon price is important and fundamental for anticipating the changing trends of the energy market, and, thus, to provide a valid reference for establishing power industry policy. However, carbon price forecasting is complicated owing to the nonlinear and non-stationary characteristics of carbon prices. In this paper, a combined forecasting model based on vari...

Analysis of urban saturated power loads is helpful to coordinate urban power grid construction and economic social development. There are two different kinds of forecasting models: the logistic curve model focuses on the growth law of the data itself, while the multi-dimensional forecasting model considers several influencing factors as the input variables. To improve forecasting performance, a...

Long-term streamflow forecasting is crucial to reservoir scheduling and water resources management. However, due to the complexity of internally physical mechanisms in streamflow process and the influence of many random factors, long-term streamflow forecasting is a difficult issue. In the article, we mainly investigated the ability of the Relevance Vector Machine (RVM) model and its applicabil...

the sales proceeds are the most important factors for keeping alive profitable companies. so sales and budget sales are considered as important parameters influencing all other decision variables in an organization. therefore, poor forecasting can lead to great loses in organization caused by inaccurate and non-comprehensive production and human resource planning. in this research a coherent so...

Electricity price forecasting has become an integral part of power system operation and control. In this paper, a wavelet transform (WT) based neural network (NN) model to forecast price profile in a deregulated electricity market has been presented. The historical price data has been decomposed into wavelet domain constitutive sub series using WT and then combined with the other time domain va...

Combining the advantages of genetic algorithm (GA) and projection pursuit regression (PPR), this article firstly uses improved Hermit polynomial as the ridge function of projection pursuit regression model. And then adopted the real-coded genetic algorithm to optimize the projection direction, a forecasting model for peak flow of short flood forecasting is presented. Applied the presented model...

In recent years, BTO (Build to Order) system is prevailing. It pursues short lead time, minimum stocks, and thereby minimum cost. But the high accuracy demand forecasting is inevitable for the parts manufacturers. In this paper, well organized BTO system in the sanitary materials manufacturer is seek with the aid of high accuracy demand forecasting, which is newly developed by us. Focusing that...

Accurate electricity forecasting is still the critical issue in many energy management fields. The applications of hybrid novel algorithms with support vector regression (SVR) models to overcome the premature convergence problem and improve forecasting accuracy levels also deserve to be widely explored. This paper applies chaotic function and quantum computing concepts to address the embedded d...