Enflasyon oranı ve döviz kuru değişkenleri en önemli makro ekonomik unsurlar arasındadır. Bu iki değişkenin birbiri üzerindeki etkisi literatürde sıklıkla incelenmektedir. çalışmada BRICS-T (Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan, Çin, Güney Afrika Türkiye) ülkelerindeki enflasyon ilişkisini sınamak amacıyla 2000-2020 dönemine ait değişkenlerinin verileri yıllık olarak ele alınmıştır. Birinci nesil birim k...

In this paper we investigate the merits of artiicial neural networks in forecasting foreign exchange rates. From previous research it is known that it is hard to beat the random walk model using structural exchange rate models. In this paper we show that by using a suitable multivariate speciication a structural model can be derived that beats the random walk. By introducing a new method for mu...

This study estimates the aggregate import demand function for Nigeria for the period of 1980 2010. Cointegration approach was implemented. While the error correction term in the estimated VEC model was evaluated for long run causal relationship, the short term coefficients were gauged for short term causal relationship between the explained and the explanatory variables. Results indicate: (i) t...

This paper examines various transmission mechanism channels on economic growth in Malaysia over the quarterly period 1980:1-2004:4 using bounds testing approach. The bounds test reveals evidence of cointegration between the real GDP and the real exchange rate and share prices that address the exchange rate and asset price channels as the key transmission mechanisms in the conduct of the monetar...

a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: C33 G10 O49 Q43 Keywords: Oil prices Stock market depth Economic growth Other macroeconomic variables Panel VAR Granger causality G-20 countries This paper examines the linkages between economic growth, oil prices, depth in the stock market, and three other key macroeconomic indicators: real effective exchange rate, inflation rate, and real rate of inte...

The crude oil prices as well as the effective exchange rate of the dollar are both time series and non -stationary as well. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between real effective exchange rate and crude oil prices by hybrid wavelet network. We use a simple Multi-layer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN) based wavelet decomposition to analyse the relatio nship between real effective...

Coe and Helpman (1995) estimated a relationship between TFP and levels of domestic and foreign R&D capital, but couldn't provide compelling evidence of the panel eointegration needed to support their estimation strategy. This paper uses Pedroni's (1997, 1998) tests for panel cointegration in both the Coe-Helpman setup and in a framework with more cross-section heterogeneity. Criticisms of the C...

This paper analyzes the effects of pegged and floating exchange rates using a two-country dynamic general equilibrium model that is calibrated to the US and a European aggregate. The model assumes shocks to money, productivity and the interest rate parity condition. It captures the fact that the sharp increase in nominal exchange rate volatility after the end of the Bretton Woods (BW) system wa...