This study investigates the effects of  macroeconomic variables and their role in development of foreign exchange market. The foreign exchange market is the mechanism by which a person of firm transfers purchasing power form one country to another, obtains or provides credit for international trade transactions, and minimizes exposure to foreign exchange risk. The foreign exchange transaction i...

return and volatility spillovers are important for portfolio selection, asset valuation and market efficiency investigation. using a var-bekk framework model, this paper investigates return and volatility spillover effects between three size-sorted equity indices in tehran stock exchange (tse). although daily return of large stocks leads small stocks (lead-lag effect), there wasn’t any spillove...

â â â â â â â â â â â  the recent global crisis, as a big crash ( baldwin and simon , 2009), has reduced foreign demand growth affecting total countries’ exports. given the importance of foreign trade to nations and the reality that recent crisis has affected international trade we study the effects of the global financial crisis on trade relations between countries by using ma and cheng (200...

in this paper we examine the effect of the oil volatility, consumer price index (cpi) and industrial production on the stock market return in tehran stock exchange (tse). we used seasonal data in period 1378-1390 and auto regressive distributed method (ardl) for the short-term and long-term relationship between the variables. as results of research indicate, we find that there is positive short...

This paper analyses optimal monetary policy in a small open economy allowing for financial dollarization (FD). More importantly, we endogenise FD, making it dependent on the expected monetary policy. Contrary to the standard small open economy model, where central banks should control domestic (producer) prices and adopt a pure floating exchange rate regime, we find that some exchange rate cont...

Under rational expectations and risk neutrality the linear projection of exchange rate change on the forward premium has a unit coefficient. However, empirical estimates of this coefficient are significantly less than one and often negative. We investigate whether replacing rational expectations by discounted least squares (or “perpetual”) learning can explain the result. We calculate the asymp...

This paper establishes the link of microstructure and macroeconomic factors with the timevarying conditional correlation of foreign exchange and excess equity returns. By using the proposed DCC model with exogenous variables, capital flows and interest rate differentials are shown to be significant determinants of this correlation which is inclusive of the short-run variation of both asset retu...

â â â â â â â â â â â  â  abstract â  the foreign exchange market (fx market) accounts for 40% of the total volume of the world’s e-commerce by its own. based on statistics, sometimes up to 90 per cent of the traders lose their total capital in this market just within six months to one year and leave this market. the probability of loss in the fx market can be estimated by probability theory....

â â â  â â â â â  the main purpose of present study is to analyze the relationship between stock and exchange markets in two asian countries, iran and south korea. a monthly time series of stock price and exchange rate are used over the period 2002: 05 - 2012: 03. the data is collected from the central bank of each country and wdi. the calculated stock return and real exchange rate change are u...