in a finite stationary markov chain, transition probabilities may depend on some explanatoryvariables. a similar problem has been considered here. the corresponding posteriors are derived andinferences are done using these posteriors. finally, the procedure is illustrated with a real example.

Current psychological theories of human causal learning and judgment focus primarily on long-run predictions: two by estimating parameters of a causal Bayes nets (though for different parameterizations), and a third through structural learning. This paper focuses on people's short-run behavior by examining dynamical versions of these three theories, and comparing their predictions to a real-wor...

in this research, an iterative approach is employed to recognize and classify control chart patterns. to do this, by taking new observations on the quality characteristic under consideration, the maximum likelihood estimator of pattern parameters is first obtained and then the probability of each pattern is determined. then using bayes’ rule, probabilities are updated recursively. finally, when...