نتایج جستجو برای: بیثباتی volatility
تعداد نتایج: 19457 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
We examine the pricing of aggregate volatility risk in the cross-section of stock returns. Consistent with theory, we find that stocks with high sensitivities to innovations in aggregate volatility have low average returns. Stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility relative to the Fama and French (1993, Journal of Financial Economics 25, 2349) model have abysmally low average returns. This phen...
In an organization operating in the bancassurance sector we identified a low-risk IT subportfolio of 84 IT projects comprising together 16,500 function points, each project varying in size and duration, for which we were able to quantify its requirements volatility. This representative portfolio stems from a much larger portfolio of IT projects. We calculated the volatility from the function po...
پیش بینی تلاطم یکی از مهمترین موضوعات مورد مطالعه در بازارهای مالی دنیا است. تلاطم به عنوان یک عامل مؤثر در تعیین ریسک سرمایهگذاری، میتواند نقش مهمی در تصمیمگیری سرمایهگذاران ایفا کند. یک تخمین مناسب از تلاطم قیمت طلا یا داراییهای مالی همچون سکه طلا در یک دورة سرمایهگذاری نقطة آغازین بسیار مهمی در کنترل ریسک سرمایهگذاری است. هدف از تدوین این پژوهش مطالعه و پیشبینی تلاطم در بازد...
generally, high oil prices slow economic growth, cause inflationary pressures and creates global imbalances. in addition, oil price volatility increase uncertainty and restrain the much-needed investment in the capital market. thus, this paper applies the augmented dickey fuller and johansen co-integration tests in which the effect of oil price volatility, crude oil price and stock price is ana...
sharp increase in oil price and the volatility in recent decades have attracted most researchers towards the field of energy. it seems not only the direct oil price, but also the uncertainty caused by the oil price volatility affect the raw oil supply. in this research the effect of oil price volatility on oil supply has been estimated using monthly time series data from january 1980 to septemb...
prevail until the options expire. It is possible to form a portfolio of call and put options so that the portfo-lio's payoff is very sensitive to the volatility of the underlying asset but only minimally sensitive to changes in the level of the underlying asset. Traders and investors who frequently buy or sell such portfolios do so with a view of the volatility of the underlying asset that does...
Most procedures for modeling and forecasting financial asset return volatilities rely on restrictive and complicated parametric GARCH or stochastic volatility models. The method of realized volatility constructed from high-frequency intraday returns is an alternative choice for volatility measurement. In this paper we make an empirical analysis on Chinese stock index data by using the method of...
We address the problem of defining and calculating forward volatility implied by option prices when the underlying asset is driven by a stochastic volatility process. We examine alternative notions of forward implied volatility and the information required to extract these measures from the prices of European options at fixed maturities. We then specialize to the SABR model and show how the asy...
It depends. If volatility fluctuates in a forecastable way, then volatility forecasts are useful for risk management; hence the interest in volatility forecastability in the risk management literature. Volatility forecastability, however, varies with horizon, and different horizons are relevant in different applications. Moreover, existing assessments of volatility forecastability are plagued b...
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