We analysed livestock anthrax in Kazakhstan from 1960-2006, using a prospective CUSUM to examine the affects of expectation on the detection of spatio-temporal clusters. Three methods for deriving baselines were used for CUSUM; a standard z-score, AVG, a spatially-weighted z-score derived from Local Moran's I, LISA, and a moving-window average, MWA. LISA and AVG elicited alarm signals in the se...

The cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedure is a graphical method that is widely used for quality monitoring in industrial settings. More recently it has been used to monitor surgical outcomes whereby it 'signals' if sufficient evidence has accumulated that there has been a change in the surgical failure rate. A limitation of the standard CUSUM procedure in this context is that since it is simply base...

An enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) for the typing of foot and mouth disease virus (FMDV) antigen was employed for the routine laboratory diagnosis of FMD at a regional veterinary laboratory in northern Thailand. An objective procedure was developed to monitor the test performance of the ELISA, using absolute test control limits in a Shewhart-CUSUM (cumulative sum) control chart method...

Bayesian networks, which may be compiled to arithmetic circuits in the interest of speed and predictability, provide a probabilistic method for system fault diagnosis. Currently, there is a limitation in arithmetic circuits in that they can only represent discrete random variables, while important fault types such as drift and offset faults are continuous and induce continuous sensor data. In t...

Customer churn in online firms is difficult to manage because customers are so fickle. The ability to detect churn in the early stage is something every online firm would wish to achieve. It represents both a potential revenue source and a cost-saving benefit. Churn prediction models attempt to organize customer behaviors, transactions and demographics to reduce the possibility of churn within ...

BACKGROUND The traditional Serfling-type approach for influenza-like illness surveillance requires long historical time-series. We retrospectively evaluated the use of recent, short, historical time-series for recognizing the onset of community outbreaks of respiratory tract infections (RTIs). METHODS The data used referred to the proportion of diagnoses for upper or lower RTIs to total diagn...

The plotting of cumulative sums (cusums), a technique of proven value in the detection of trends in data collected at intervals of time, may be modified to analyze circadian blood pressure patterns quantitatively. Mean 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure is taken as the reference value and is subtracted from each pressure value. The products of the remainders and the corresponding time intervals ...

In order to monitor a medical center's survival outcomes using simple plots, we introduce a risk-adjusted Observed-Expected (O-E) Cumulative SUM (CUSUM) along with monitoring bands as decision criterion.The proposed monitoring bands can be used in place of a more traditional but complicated V-shaped mask or the simultaneous use of two one-sided CUSUMs. The resulting plot is designed to simultan...

The statistical cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart is a powerful tool for monitoring the attribute quality variable in manufacturing industry. In this article, we studied the multiplicity problem caused by simultaneously monitoring more than one attribute quality variable. Multiple binomial and Poisson CUSUM charts incorporating a multiple hypothesis testing technique known as false discovery rate co...

The multi-armed bandit problem has been extensively studied under the stationary assumption. However in reality, this assumption often does not hold because the distributions of rewards themselves may change over time. In this paper, we propose a change-detection (CD) based framework for multiarmed bandit problems under the piecewise-stationary setting, and study a class of change-detection bas...