Short-term wind power forecasting is recognized today as a major requirement for a secure and economic integration of wind generation in power systems. This paper deals with the case of regional forecasting of wind power with a large number of wind farms involved. Due to the large amount of potentially available information and also because part of the wind farms may not be "observable", foreca...

China’s wind power has developed rapidly in the past few years, the large-scale penetration of which will bring big influence on power systems. The wind speed forecasting research is quite important because it can alleviate the negative impacts. This paper reviews the current wind speed forecasting techniques in China. The literature (written in Chinese) sources and classification were firstly ...

With increasing wind penetration, wind power ramps (WPRs) are currently drawing great attention to balancing authorities, since these wind ramps largely affect power system operations. To help better manage and dispatch the wind power, this paper develops a data-driven probabilistic wind power ramp forecasting (p-WPRF) method based on a large number of simulated scenarios. A machine learning te...

As one of the most promising kinds of the renewable energy power, wind power has developed rapidly in recent years. However, wind power has the characteristics of intermittency and volatility, so its penetration into electric power systems brings challenges for their safe and stable operation, therefore making accurate wind power forecasting increasingly important, which is also a challenging t...

The uncertainty and regularity of wind power generation are caused by wind resources’ intermittent and randomness. Such volatility brings severe challenges to the wind power grid. The requirements for ultrashort-term and short-term wind power forecasting with high prediction accuracy of the model used, have great significance for reducing the phenomenon of abandoned wind power , optimizing the ...

Abstract The power generation of wind energy conversion system (WECS) is varied with wind speed. Although wind power generation is not dispatch able, an accurate forecasting method of wind power generation for WECS can help the power system operator to reduce operating costs of power system. The artificial neural network is one of the best tools applied to forecast. This paper uses the back pro...

The power generated by wind generators is usually associated with uncertainties, due to the intermittency of wind speed and other weather variables. This creates a big challenge for transmission system operators (TSOs) and distribution system operators (DSOs) in terms of connecting, controlling and managing power networks with high-penetration wind energy. Hence, in these power networks, accura...

as renewable energy increasingly penetrates into power grid systems, new challenges arise for system operators to keep the systems reliable under uncertain circumstances, while ensuring high utilization of renewable energy. this paper presents unit commitment (uc) which takes into account the volatility of wind power generation. the uc problem is solved with the forecasted intermittent wind pow...

Operation of wind power generation in a large farm is quite challenging in a smart grid owing to uncertain weather conditions. Consequently, operators must accurately forecast wind speed/power in the dispatch center to carry out unit commitment, real power scheduling and economic dispatch. This work presents a novel method based on the integration of empirical mode decomposition (EMD) with arti...

Wind power point forecasting is the primary method to deal with its uncertainty. However, in many applications, the probabilistic interval of wind power is more useful than traditional point forecasting. Methods to determine the probabilistic interval of wind power point forecasting value is very essential to power system operations. Based on the bootstrap method, this paper proposed a wavelet ...