Due to the intermittency of wind power generation, it is very hard to manage its system operation and planning. In order to incorporate higher wind power penetrations into power systems that maintain secure and economic power system operation, an accurate and efficient estimation of wind power outputs is needed. In this paper, we propose the stochastic prediction of wind generating resources us...

In the present study wind power density of the Penjwen region have been statistically analyzed during the period from January 2001 to December 2003 based on the monthly measured mean wind speed data. The annual and monthly wind speeds and wind density are estimated. The Weibull and Ralyeigh distribution functions have been derived from the available data and both Weibull and Rayleigh probabilit...

In this paper, to model a real life wind turbine, a probabilistic approach is proposed to model the dynamics of the blade elements of a small axial wind turbine under extreme stochastic wind speeds conditions. It was found that the power and the torque probability density functions even-dough decreases at these extreme wind speeds but are not infinite. Moreover, we also fund that it is possible...

[1] Probability distribution and power density of wind speed over global oceans are computed from eight years of QuikSCAT measurements. They describe the variation and higher moments of wind speed that are critical in relating the non-linear effects of wind on electric power generation capability, shipping hazard, and air-sea exchanges in heat, water, and greenhouse gases. The power density dis...

Wind power has been developed rapidly as a clean energy in recent years. The forecast error of wind power, however, makes it difficult to use wind power effectively. In some former statistical models, the forecast error was usually assumed to be a Gaussian distribution, which had proven to be unreliable after a statistical analysis. In this paper, a more suitable probability density function fo...

Due to increasing expansion of energy consumption and also the decrease and tendency towardsending fossil energy reserves, the current energy cycle needs to use alternative energy speciallywind energy, because it’s considerably cheaper than other recycling sources. The presentresearch investigates suitable possibility of exploiting wind energy to create wind power stationin Soltanieh zone of Za...

in the current research, wind energy potential at yazd synoptic stations, which contain wind data with 10 years statistic period and beyond, including yazd synoptic station (1976-2006), tabass (1987-2006), robate poshte badam (1992-2006), bafgh (1993-2006) and marvast (1997-2006), has been studied. wind data were obtained from the recorded data at yazd meteorology organization. the data were re...

recently, transverse flux permanent magnet generators (tfpmgs) have been proposed as a possible generator in direct drive variable speed wind turbines due to their unique merits. generally, the quality of output power in these systems is lower than multi stage fixed speed systems, because of removing the gears, so it’s important to design these kinds of generators with low ripple and lowest har...