We introduce a new sequential algorithm for making robust predictions in the presence of changepoints. Unlike previous approaches, which focus on the problem of detecting and locating changepoints, our algorithm focuses on the problem of making predictions even when such changes might be present. We introduce nonstationary covariance functions to be used in Gaussian process prediction that mode...

We present a sequential Monte Carlo sampler algorithm for the Bayesian analysis of generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs). These models support a variety of interesting regression-type analyses, but performing inference is often extremely difficult, even when using the Bayesian approach combined with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). The Sequential Monte Carlo sampler (SMC) is a new and general...

estimating the final price of products is of great importance. for manufacturing companies proposing a final price is only possible after the design process over. these companies propose an approximate initial price of the required products to the customers for which some of time and money is required. here using the existing data of already designed transformers and utilizing the bayesian anal...

estimating the final price of products is of great importance. for manufacturing companies proposing a final price is only possible after the design process over. these companies propose an approximate initial price of the required products to the customers for which some of time and money is required. here using the existing data of already designed transformers and utilizing the bayesian anal...

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has gained popularity over the past few years for the analysis of complex models arising in population genetics, epidemiology and system biology. Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approaches have become work-horses in ABC. Here we discuss how to construct the perturbation kernels that are required in ABC SMC approaches, in order to construct a sequence of distr...