This paper establishes the first four moment expansions to the order o(a^−1) of S_{t_{a}}^{prime }/sqrt{t_{a}}, where S_{n}^{prime }=sum_{i=1}^{n}Y_{i} is a simple random walk with E(Yi) = 0, and ta is a stopping time given by t_{a}=inf left{ ngeq 1:n+S_{n}+zeta _{n}>aright}‎ where S_{n}=sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{i} is another simple random walk with E(Xi) = 0, and {zeta _{n},ngeq 1} is a sequence of ran...

It is essential to consider the acceptable threshold in the assessment of a hydrological model because of the scarcity of research in the hydrology community and errors do not necessarily cause risk. Two forecast errors, including rainfall forecast error and peak flood forecast error, have been studied based on the reliability theory. The first order second moment (FOSM) and bound methods are u...

This study investigates the sensitivity of design variables such as ultimate strength of concrete, yield stress of reinforcing steel and damping ratio to the seismic response of staggered wall structures. Two different methods for sensitivity analysis, the tornado diagram method and the first-order second-moment method, are applied to two types of model structures. Non-linear dynamic analyses a...