Forecasts of economic time series are often evaluated according to their accuracy as measured by either quantitativeprecision or qualitative reliability. We argue that consumers purchase forecasts for the potentialutility gains from utilizing them, not for theiraccuracy. Using Monte Carlo techniques to incorporate the temporal heteroskedasticity inherent in asset returns,the expected utility of...

abstract- according to article 44 of the i.r. of iran constitution, the iranian economy consists of three sectors; the state, the cooperative, and the private sectors. the aim of this study was to present a hierarchy of criteria for selecting the best economic sector for agricultural development. analytic hierarchy process (ahp) was used to calculate the relative importance of either criteria o...

There are many different analysis methods for evaluation of complicated socio-economic processes. Banks are important participants of the market. Soundness and stability of banks is difficult to assess because of their complicated internal business structure, intertwined cash flows and strong influence of market conditions on bank’s performance. Multi-criteria methods of evaluation are among ma...

A simple normative theory is proposed for the responsible management of risks to the public. A ‘lifesaving’ alternative, if it is truly to save lives, should return to the community more years of life expectancy in good health than the years of work consumed to pay for its cost. This common-sense time principle of risk management provides a criterion for acceptable risk that is applicable in co...

In modern conditions, the importance of ensuring national economic security is increasing due to multivariance and alternativeness goal-setting ways achieve goals. One cannot give preference one or another option for forecasting development, making investments, forming country’s budget without assessing their socio-economic consequences in form criteria indicators security. this paper, it propo...

There are two types of criteria for users: economic criteria and technical criteria. The set of economic criteria for users was designed to determine which type of machine translation system should be introduced in order to obtain maximum economic efficiency. The technical set of criteria for users was designed to help those who have decided to introduce a machine translation system to determin...