This article aims at presenting a three-dimensional framework dedicated to structure the domain of crisis management. The approach is based on a formalized vision of crisis (the danger / risk / consequence chain) that is used to define the what, when and where of crisis management. These three basic questions allow describing the management, time (life cycle) and localization dimensions of cris...

Examples of repercussions from well-intentioned controls are cited in connection with lead in gasoline, sulfur in fuel, high industrial stacks, reduction of atmospheric particulates. The importance of tradeoffs is emphasized, and the current energy crisis cited as an example. The danger of overemphasis of past errors is that the drive for control may be weakened.

The ever increasing sophistication of software systems brings with it the ever increasing danger of humans losing control over their own creations. This situation, termed the ‘software crisis’, is said to have existed since the early days of software engineering and has been characterized by the inability of software developers to produce adaptive systems. This paper addresses the roots of the ...

We have witnessed the worst global financial crisis in a century and the repercussions are still being felt in developed and developing countries alike. A dangerous cocktail of short-term gains prevailing over long-term interests, herding, increasing pressure to deliver results, the absence of effective oversight, and blind trust that the system would regulate itself eventually exploded when Le...

To improve the detection of the economic ”danger zones” from which severe banking crises emanate, this paper introduces classification tree ensembles to the banking crisis forecasting literature. I show that their out-of-sample performance in forecasting binary banking crisis indicators surpasses current best-practice early warning systems based on logit models by a substantial margin. I obtain...

This article uses grounded theory methods to research the history of a therapeutic community and highlights the possibilities of ‘being able to learn’ as an aim for history of medicine research. For this case study, processes of research and learning allow consideration of the ‘dilemma of paternalism’ and the interaction between history, policy and practice. How can students enter into discours...

because of a crime crisis in societies through 80’s, stabilization incriminality noticed by criminologists. a dynamic fact and stable processwhich in it, in lack of management in criminal justice, juveniles andimmature earlier criminals, might be in danger and as a result, today’spotential stabilizer criminals are tomorrow’s chronic stabilized ones.beside other ecological, mental and social cri...