background: malaria is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in nepal. the magnitude of malaria across the country is alarming and varies with location. therefore, the present study aimed to model malaria incidence rates during 1998 to 2009 in nepal. methods: data for the study were obtained from health management information system (hmis), ministry of public health. a negative binomial mode...

The beta-binomial distribution is resulted when the probability of success per trial in the binomial distribution varies in successive trials and the mixing distribution is from the beta family. For experiments with binary outcomes, often it may happen that observations exhibit some extra binomial variation and occur in clusters. In such experiments the beta-binomial distribution can generally ...

This article focuses on the estimation of population proportion when the study variable is sensitive in nature. Two implicit randomized response techniques are proposed where the unrelated trait can be chosen subjectively. In addition to unbiased estimation of population proportion and variance, an empirical study is conducted to inspect the relative efficiency facet of the proposed techniques....

the probability density functions fitting to the discrete probability functions has always been needed, and very important. this paper is fitting the continuous curves which are probability density functions to the binomial probability functions, negative binomial geometrics, poisson and hypergeometric. the main key in these fittings is the use of the derivative concept and common differential ...

Safety analysts usually use post-modeling methods, such as the Goodness-of-Fit statistics or the Likelihood Ratio Test, to decide between two or more competitive distributions or models. Such metrics require all competitive distributions to be fitted to the data before any comparisons can be accomplished. Given the continuous growth in introducing new statistical distributions, choosing the bes...

The need for investment in the improvement and expansion of the electric transmission grid has not been met in the new competitive environment. Investment in transmission assets poses demanding challenges: multiplicity of players, market imperfections, among others. The integration of financial instruments poses also an additional level of complication, because investors wish to ensure steady l...

We derive a quantile-adjusted conditional maximum likelihood estimator for the dispersion parameter of the negative binomial distribution and compare its performance, in terms of bias, to various other methods. Our estimation scheme outperforms all other methods in very small samples, typical of those from serial analysis of gene expression studies, the motivating data for this study. The impac...

The question of optimal strategic asset allocation for investors with behavioural utilities saving for retirement is addressed. To date this problem has been studied assuming that an investor is rational in the sense when making investment decisions the preference relation of the investor satisfies all the axioms of choice. Research in behavioural science indicates that investment related decis...

The paper is devoted to optimal superreplication of European options in the discrete setting under proportional transaction costs on the underlying asset. In particular, general pricing and hedging algorithms are developed. This extends previous work by many authors, which has been focused on the binomial tree model and options with specific payoffs such as calls or puts, often under certain bo...

We present a theoretical as well as experimental investigation of a population of self-replicating segments of code subject to random mutation and survival of the ttest. Under the assumption that such a system constitutes a minimal system with characteristics of life, we obtain a number of statements on the evolution of complexity and the trade-oo between entropy and information.