One of the most widely-used multivariate conditional volatility models is the dynamic conditional correlation (or DCC) specification. However, the underlying stochastic process to derive DCC has not yet been established, which has made problematic the derivation of asymptotic properties of the Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimators (QMLE). To date, the statistical properties of the QMLE of the DCC...

In this paper we propose a new multivariate GARCH model with timevarying correlations. We adopt the vech representation based on the conditional variances and the conditional correlations. While each conditional-variance term is assumed to follow a univariate GARCH formulation, the conditional-correlation matrix is postulated to follow an autoregressive moving average type of analogue. By impos...

Abstract When the interest is in studying conditional dependencies, and more precisely strength of some kind averaging over conditioning random vector may be needed. Examples average measures that can serve this context are Kendall’s tau partial tau. It known these differ general. Some statistical tests based on measures, a better knowledge them importance. The aim paper to provide quantitative...

return maximization or risk minimization is goal in portfolio optimization based on mean variance theory. the structure of correlation matrices and individual variance of each asset are two main factors in optimization with risk minimization object. it’s necessary to use appropriate variance and correlation coefficient for time series with clustering volatilities feature, too. in this research,...

This paper estimates the dynamic conditional correlations in the returns on Tapis oil spot and onemonth forward prices for the period 2 June 1992 to 16 January 2004, using recently developed multivariate conditional volatility models, namely the Constant Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH (CCCMGARCH) model of Bollerslev [1990], Vector Autoregressive Moving Average – GARCH (VARMAGARCH) m...