To investigate the variability in energy output from a network of photo-voltaic cells, solar radiation was recorded at ten sites every ten minutes in the Pentland Hills to the south of Edinburgh. We identify spatio-temporal auto-regressive moving average (STARMA) models as the most appropriate to address this problem. Although previously considered computationally prohibitive to work with, we s...

In this paper, we have examined 4 models for Great Salt Lake level forecasting: ARMA (Auto-Regression and Moving Average), ARFIMA (Auto-Regressive Fractional Integral and Moving Average), GARCH (Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) and FIGARCH (Fractional Integral Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity). Through our empirical data analysis where we div...

short-term traffic flow forecasting plays a significant role in the intelligent transportation systems (its), especially for the traffic signal control and the transportation planning research. two mainly problems restrict the forecasting of urban freeway traffic parameters. one is the freeway traffic changes non-regularly under the heterogeneous traffic conditions, and the other is the success...

In this work, a powerful parametric spectral estimation technique, 2D-auto regressive moving average modeling (ARMA), has been applied to contrast transfer function (CTF) detection in electron microscopy. Parametric techniques such as auto regressive (AR) and ARMA models allow a more exact determination of the CTF than traditional methods based only on the Fourier transform of the complete imag...

Switchgrass is known as one of the best second-generation lignocellulosic biomasses for bioethanol production. Designing efficient switchgrass-based bioethanol supply chain (SBSC) is an essential requirement for commercializing the bioethanol production from switchgrass. This paper presents a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model to design SBSC in which bioethanol demand is under auto-r...

ecological changes resulting from climate conditions can severely affect human societies especially in the area of economy and safety. climate catastrophes may cause social and economic tension. forecasting such changes accurately can help the government to control the disasters and to achieve possible benefits (such as water supply in flood). weather forecasting is the application of science a...

Flooding is the most common natural disaster and continues to increase in frequency intensity due climate changes [7]. Currently, there a lack of efficient tools predict flooding. This research aimed create Time Series Machine Learning (ML) program using Auto Regressive Moving Average (ARIMA) models forecast streamflow, one prominent factors flood prediction. A streamflow dataset from Ganges Ri...

Proper models for prediction of time series data can be an advantage in making important decisions. In this study, we tried with the comparison between one of the most useful classic models of economic evaluation, auto-regressive integrated moving average model and one of the most useful artificial intelligence models, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), investigate modeling procedur...