نتایج جستجو برای: analysis gcms

تعداد نتایج: 2825371  

2014
Tony Chang Andrew J. Hansen Nathan Piekielek

Projected climate change at a regional level is expected to shift vegetation habitat distributions over the next century. For the sub-alpine species whitebark pine (Pinus albicaulis), warming temperatures may indirectly result in loss of suitable bioclimatic habitat, reducing its distribution within its historic range. This research focuses on understanding the patterns of spatiotemporal variab...

2007
DÁITHÍ A. STONE MYLES R. ALLEN PETER A. STOTT

This paper presents an update on the detection and attribution of global annual mean surface air temperature changes, using recently developed climate models. In particular, it applies a new methodology that permits the inclusion of many more general circulation models (GCMs) into the analysis, and it also includes more recent observations. This methodology involves fitting a series of energy b...

Journal: :Biology letters 2012
Daniel T Blumstein Yvonne Y Chi

The nonlinearity and arousal hypothesis predicts that highly aroused mammals will produce nonlinear, noisy vocalizations. We tested this prediction by measuring faecal glucocorticoid metabolites (GCMs) in adult yellow-bellied marmots (Marmota flaviventris), and asking if variation in GCMs was positively correlated with Wiener entropy-a measure of noise. Contrary to our prediction, we found a si...

2007
ANDREW J. CHARLTON LORENZO M. POLVANI JUDITH PERLWITZ FABRIZIO SASSI ELISA MANZINI KIYOTAKA SHIBATA STEVEN PAWSON J. ERIC NIELSEN DAVID RIND

The simulation of major midwinter stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) in six stratosphere-resolving general circulation models (GCMs) is examined. The GCMs are compared to a new climatology of SSWs, based on the dynamical characteristics of the events. First, the number, type, and temporal distribution of SSW events are evaluated. Most of the models show a lower frequency of SSW events than th...

2013
DAVID E. RUPP PHILIP W. MOTE NATHANIEL L. BINDOFF PETER A. STOTT DAVID A. ROBINSON

Significant declines in spring Northern Hemisphere (NH) snow cover extent (SCE) have been observed over the last five decades. As one step toward understanding the causes of this decline, an optimal fingerprinting technique is used to look for consistency in the temporal pattern of spring NH SCE between observations and simulations from 15 global climate models (GCMs) that form part of phase 5 ...

Journal: Desert 2015

Two statistical downscaling models, the non-homogeneous hidden Markov model (NHMM) and the Statistical Down–Scaling Model (SDSM) were used to generate future scenarios of both mean and extremes in the Tarim River basin,which were based on nine combined scenarios including three general circulation models (GCMs) (CSIRO30, ECHAM5,and GFDL21) predictor sets and three special report on emission sce...

Journal: :desert 2015
zhaofei liu zongxue xu

two statistical downscaling models, the non-homogeneous hidden markov model (nhmm) and the statistical down–scaling model (sdsm) were used to generate future scenarios of both mean and extremes in the tarim river basin,which were based on nine combined scenarios including three general circulation models (gcms) (csiro30, echam5,and gfdl21) predictor sets and three special report on emission sce...

2011
Matteo Ciman Ombretta Gaggi Marco Sbrignadello

In this paper we discuss the problem of efficient use of Content Management Systems in the development of a web site, and we propose a new approach towards the definition of a Green Content Management System (GCMS). Our GCMS distinguishes between pages which contain dynamic data and pages which are not supposed to change frequently. This second kind of documents is generated, off-line, every ti...

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